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Welsh Tories see slump in Westminster polling numbers – projected to lose Ynys Môn

20 Sep 2021 2 minute read
Ynys Môn MP Virginia Crosbie

The Tories have seen a slump in their polling for Westminster in the latest YouGov Welsh Barometer Poll, down five points on their standing in May.

According to Professor Roger Awan-Scully of Cardiff University, only one seat would change hands under present boundaries – Ynys Môn. That is also the only seat that will stay intact when Wales’ seats are cut from 40 to 32 in time for the next General Election.

Conservatives’ support has fallen from 36 to 32% according to the ITV/Cardiff University poll. They also won 36% of the vote at the 2019 General Election.

Labour stay level on 37% of the vote at Westminster, with Plaid Cymru up one to 15%.

At the Senedd constituency level, the Conservatives are down two points from 29 to 27%, Labour are up one point from 36 to 37%, and Plaid Cymru are down one from 20 to 19%.

On the regional list, however, the Conservatives are up one point from 25 to 26%, Labour up two from 31 to 33%, and Plaid Cymru down two from 21 to 19%. All the Senedd numbers are within the margin of error of May’s polling.

All figures, unless otherwise stated, are from YouGov Plc. Total sample size was 1,071 adults. Fieldwork was undertaken between 13th – 16th September 2021. The survey was carried out online. The figures have been weighted and are representative of all GB adults (aged 18+).


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arthur owen
10 months ago

I have said this before,there is no general election due any time soon.But I suppose it cheers the troops to think they might defeat a Tory.

Stuart Cane
Stuart Cane
10 months ago
Reply to  arthur owen

I wouldn’t bet against an election in 2022 while Labour is on the ropes in England.

Grayham Jones
10 months ago

We in wales have got to stop being little Englanders and and be proud to be welsh kick all English party’s out of wales that’s the Tories Labour and all Brexit party’s it’s time for a new wales 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 A Free Wales 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿

Y Cymro
Y Cymro
10 months ago
Reply to  Grayham Jones

What the hell are you on about? Free North Wales? So you think are going to get a better deal from Whitehall do you. Looks like one of Boris’s clowns has escaped his idiocracy big-top Conservative circus.

Do remind me of all the investment Boris had given the North since becoming PM? I’ll answer. Nothing! Wales as a whole in fact has received no major infrastructure build promised in 2019. England has though.

Me thinks you are a Unionist protagonist. See, I have a keen sense, and my bullship radar has gone off the scale.

Last edited 10 months ago by Y Cymro
Y Cymro
Y Cymro
10 months ago

The Welsh constituencies that voted in Conservative candidates last election due to Brexit on the proviso of investment & infrastructure builds now realise the error of their way. We who are observant knew Tory promises were built on sand, but sadly they were brainwashed by bigoted BritNat confidence tricksters. Tory Virginia Crosbie promised the people of Ynys Môn investment galore, including infrastructure build with Wylfa Newydd their main prize if they & she won the election. But sadly this was another Tory illusion after the project was scrapped due to Whitehall refusing give financial help to Hitachi when costs spiraled,… Read more »

Last edited 10 months ago by Y Cymro
Y Cymro
Y Cymro
10 months ago
Reply to  Y Cymro

Nid ydych chi’n haeddu Gwlad.

Gareth Wyn Jones
Gareth Wyn Jones
10 months ago
Reply to  Y Cymro

A nuclear free wales is something to aspire to especially when we have the renewable potential. But you are right Tory trash talk on everything, just belongs in the bin

Llywelyn ein Llyw Nesaf
Llywelyn ein Llyw Nesaf
10 months ago
Reply to  Y Cymro

You say “The Welsh constituencies that voted in Conservative candidates last election due to Brexit on the proviso of investment & infrastructure builds now realise the error of their way.” – but they DON’T!

Empty shelves due to Brexit. A Tory Government that has killed 150,000 of its citizens. A third of our children living in poverty.

But 32% still support the Tories

j humphrys
j humphrys
10 months ago

Could 68% be a clue?

Gareth Wyn Jones
Gareth Wyn Jones
10 months ago

I’m sure that Crosbie will get a band of corrupt ‘donors’ to fund her campaign legal or not legal, the Tory party is a crime syndicate working out of Westminster with branches in Cardiff and Edinburugh

Wrexhamian
Wrexhamian
10 months ago

The “Welsh” Tory success in the 2019 election was an abberation caused by unique circumstances. It was always likely that the whole thing would go up in smoke once they started doing Tory stuff in their constituencies after winning the Red Wall, and Boris Johnson has only succeeded in making them even less popular. Sarah Atherton, parachuted into Wrexham, is also likely to be waving Cymru bye-bye, despite her new-found love for Owain Glyndwr.

Last edited 10 months ago by Wrexhamian

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