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31 per cent want Welsh independence referendum, says new poll

23 Jan 2021 2 minute read
The flags of Wales, Scotland, England and the UK. Picture by Joowwww.

A new opinion poll has revealed that 31 per cent of Welsh voters want an independence referendum within the next five years.

The survey on the state of the union, based on separate polls in Wales, Scotland, Northern Ireland, and England, means the “UK is facing a constitutional crisis” according to The Sunday Times.

It found that a majority of voters in Scotland and Northern Ireland want a new referendum on the break-up of the union.

A YouGov opinion poll, which suggested that 31 per cent of Welsh voters want an independence referendum in the next five years, put those against on 47 per cent, and those who don’t know on 22 per cent. It also put support for independence at 23 per cent, with 52 per cent against, and those who don’t know on 11 per cent.

The survey showed that 49 per cent of Welsh voters believe that Scottish independence is likely within the next 10 years, while 23 per cent do not.


A Panelbase within the survey found that Scotland would vote for independence by a margin of 52 per cent to 48 per cent. Support for holding a referendum on independence in the next five years is at 50 per cent to 43 per cent, while 7 per cent of voters don’t know.

The Sunday Times reported that Michel Gove, the Cabinet Office Minister has compared plans on how to save the union with Gordon Brown, the former Labour Prime Minister.

In Northern Ireland, according to a LucidTalk survey, 51 per cent want a referendum about the border within the next five years and 44 per cent do not.

Support for staying in the UK is at 47 per cent, while 42 per cent want a united Ireland. Another 11 per cent are undecided on the issue.  Northern Irish voters believe there’ll be a united Ireland within 10 years by a margin of 48 per cent to 44 per cent.

Supporters of Irish reunification outnumber those who want to stay in the UK by 47 per cent to 46 per cent when it comes to voters aged under 45.

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