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Big swing to Labour in by-election bordering key Welsh election battleground

02 Dec 2022 4 minute read
Labour Samantha Dixon waits ahead of the deceleration at Chester by-election count at Northgate Arena Leisure Centre. Picture by Danny Lawson / PA Wire

Labour have seen a big swing in their favour in a constituency bordering a key Welsh battleground.

The party won a 10,974 majority in the City of Chester constituency which sits on the border with the Welsh seats of Wrexham and Alyn and Deeside.

The Welsh Conservatives won Wrexham and nearby Delyn at the 2019 General Election, and came within 200 votes of taking Alyn and Deeside as well.

But the result in Chester, Which was the Conservatives’ worst there since 1832, may suggest that any General Election could see a swing back in Labour’s favour in the north-east of Wales.

This time around, local councillor Samantha Dixon romped to victory with a 10,974 vote majority, having won it in 2019 for the third time in a row with a majority of 6,164.

Labour secured more than 61% of the votes and a 13.76% swing from the Tories, with the Conservative candidate Liz Wardlaw getting 6,335 votes, or 22.40%.

The contest in the City of Chester was triggered by the resignation of Labour MP Christian Matheson, who resigned his Commons seat after complaints of “serious sexual misconduct” were upheld by a parliamentary watchdog.

Mr Matheson, who denied the allegations, was facing a four-week suspension and was asked to resign by Labour before he quit.

Ms Dixon defeated Conservative candidate and NHS nurse Liz Wardlaw, handing the Conservatives a defeat in the first Westminster by-election since Boris Johnson’s forced resignation and the market chaos that ended Liz Truss’s short stint in Number 10.

Labour hailed the result as one that sent a “clear message” to Mr Sunak and his new administration.

In a victory speech after the result was announced, Ms Dixon said: “People in Chester and across our country are really worried.

“Worried about losing their homes because they can’t afford the mortgage repayments or the rent, worried about whether they can put the heating on, worried about whether they can put food on the table for their families.

“This is the cost of 12 years of Conservative Government. The Government, which has wreaked havoc with our economy, destroyed our public services and betrayed the people who put their trust in them at the last general election.”

Election officials confirmed that turnout was 41.2%, with a total of 28,541 votes cast in the December poll.

‘Fed up’

Ms Dixon told reporters that she believed many people across the country felt the same as voters in Chester.

“It’s just that here people have had an opportunity to express how they feel,” she said.

Deputy Labour leader Angela Rayner is expected to visit Chester on Friday to celebrate the result with the new MP, who will now take up her seat two years out from the next general election.

Shadow work and pensions minister Alison McGovern said: “The people of Chester have sent a clear message to Rishi Sunak’s Conservative Government: They are fed up of Tory rule and want the change Labour offers.

“After the Tories crashed our economy, it’s clear that only Labour can be trusted to help families across the country make ends meet,” the Wirral South MP said.

“Sam will be an excellent MP for Chester and a strong voice for Chester residents in the Conservative cost-of-living crisis.”

The result is the latest by-election defeat suffered by the Conservatives.

The last two by-elections, which took place on the same day in June, were a disaster for the Tories, with Labour snatching Wakefield and the Liberal Democrats securing a historic victory in Tiverton and Honiton.

The result, which comes just over a month into Mr Sunak’s tenure as prime minister, is unlikely to be seen as a referendum on his leadership.

But it nonetheless comes as a blow to the party, which is facing an uphill battle to remain in office at the next nationwide poll.

The country is facing a gloomy outlook, after Chancellor Jeremy Hunt’s autumn statement last month ushered in a fresh round of belt-tightening in the public finances as the UK heads into a recession and soaring inflation squeezes incomes.

With many households struggling with rising energy bills, rail strikes and a planned walk-out by nurses also threaten to cause severe disruption in the run up to Christmas.

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Cathy Jones
Cathy Jones
1 year ago

The Nation’s editors need to be a bit more cautious with the words and phrases they allow.  “severe disruption” in the context used helps reinforce the false narrative that the strikes are designed to upset service users. I know it’s not stated, but the text allows that implication to be made. But look at it: “With many households struggling with rising energy bills, rail strikes and a planned walk-out by nurses also threaten to cause severe disruption in the run up to Christmas.” We have mentions of households, connotations of family, home etc. We have mention of who is striking,… Read more »

Doctor Trousers
Doctor Trousers
1 year ago
Reply to  Cathy Jones

100% with you on this.
I see a similar thing going on when even left leaning media insists on using the phrase “climate sceptic” to refer to far right, science denialist think tanks. These people aren’t sceptics, they’re malignant liars.
The power of propaganda can boil down to the choice of a single word or phrase, we need to be far more vigilant about not just lazily repeating the manipulative language of the right wing, billionaire owned media.

Cynan again
Cynan again
1 year ago

Big Swing from far right unionists to slightly right unionists … yay …ಠ__ಠ

Last edited 1 year ago by Cynan again
1 year ago
Reply to  Cynan again

Looking at the turnout, I wouldn’t even class it as a big “swing” either.

More likely, Conservative voters decided to stay home.

Last edited 1 year ago by SundanceKid

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