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Double opinion poll boost for Plaid Cymru

01 Feb 2024 3 minute read
Plaid Cymru candidates Llinos Medi (R) and Ann Davies

A new opinion poll has indicated that Plaid Cymru is in pole position to win two of the most eagerly anticipated contests in Wales at the forthcoming general election.

Leading market research company Survation interviewed over 1000 electors in the constituencies of Ynys Mȏn and Caerfyrddin, with the results revealing that Plaid Cymru candidates Llinos Medi and Ann Davies are leading their respective contests.

In Ynys Mȏn, where the Tories are defending a narrow majority, the poll showed Llinos Medi on course to take 39% of the vote for Plaid, with Labour and the Conservatives neck and neck for second place on 27% and 26% respectively, and Reform UK on 4%.

The poll of the newly-redrawn seat of Caerfyrddin, which includes areas which were previously part of Plaid and Conservative constituencies, also pointed towards a Plaid Cymru win.

The party’s candidate, Local businesswoman Ann Davies, recorded 30% support, with the Tory and Labour candidates on 24% each. All three were well ahead of potential independent candidate Jonathan Edwards on 10%, and the Lib Dems and Reform UK on 4%.

Strong position

Ms Davies said, “This poll shows us in a strong position in the new Caerfyrddin constituency at the start of the election year.

“The boundary changes recreate a similar seat to the one represented so effectively at Westminster by Gwynfor Evans. My aim will be to work hard to gain the trust of the people of Carmarthenshire and be an effective local champion for our communities.”

Llinos Medi, who has lived on Ynys Mon all her life and now leads the local county council, said, “In talking to people across the island in recent weeks, it’s clear they see the Tories in Westminster as incompetent and out of touch, and aren’t enthused by Labour’s alternative.

“Plaid Cymru is fighting this election on a platform of fairness and ambition for Wales, and I’m glad to see the warm reception on the doorstep reflected in this poll result.”

Plaid Cymru Leader Rhun ap Iorwerth added: “Llinos Medi and Ann Davies are trusted local champions with a strong record of delivering for their respective communities of Ynys Mon and Caerfyrddin.

“People know that the next general election is not a choice between two out of touch London parties. They have another choice in Plaid Cymru.

“A vote for Plaid Cymru means a vote to put Wales first in Westminster, demanding the fairness and ambition our country both needs and deserves.”


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Rhufawn Jones
Rhufawn Jones
27 days ago

Caerfyrddin will be a difficult win for Plaid if Jonathan Edwards decides to stand as an independent, which could well happen. But these polls look promising.

hdavies15
hdavies15
27 days ago
Reply to  Rhufawn Jones

They need to work hard on the basis of this feedback not sit back and expect it to happen. A steady build up of contact with the electorate is crucial. Polls are all well and good but it’s the poll on the big day that matters

Steffan Gwent
Steffan Gwent
27 days ago
Reply to  Rhufawn Jones

The writing is on the wall so to speak for Jonathan Edwards MP.

Paul
Paul
27 days ago

Please can you correct the article, you state that “ Survation interviewed over 1000 electors in the constituencies of Ynys Mȏn and Caerfyrddin”

They have interviewed ~1000 electors including some in these two seats. They have not conducted a 1000+ poll in each nor a 500 person poll in each.

This is misreporting.

William Dolben
William Dolben
27 days ago
Reply to  Paul

so assuming 32 seats it’s 30 or so voters polled per constituency?

John
John
27 days ago
Reply to  Paul

They are constituency polls in Ynys Mon and Caerfyrddin only, not a national poll. That means they conducted a 500 person poll in each.

Welbru
Welbru
27 days ago
Reply to  John

Oh disappointing. From the article I understood 1000 in each.
Ynys Mon voters are so fickle, I wouldn’t rely on any poll for them anyway.

William Dolben
William Dolben
27 days ago
Reply to  John

thanks

can you send the link?

William Dolben
William Dolben
27 days ago

found it

https://www.survation.com/https-www-survation-com-archive-2024-2/

1st February 2024 – Survation conducted a constituency survey of 507 people living in the Ynys Môn constituency on behalf of Plaid Cymru. Fieldwork was conducted between 21st December 2023 and 5th January 2024. Tables are available here.
1st February 2024 – Survation conducted a constituency survey of 520 people living in the new Carmarthen constituency on behalf of Plaid Cymru. Fieldwork was conducted between 2nd and 4th January 2024. Tables are available here.

Y Cymro
Y Cymro
27 days ago

Promising news. Wales desperately needs change. Real change. Not the stale two party system where promises & pledges are made by both Labour & Conservatives when they know they will never be realised. It called lying to the electorate to gain power. Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me twice, shame on me. There”s a wise old saying. “The sign of insanity is doing the same thing over and over expecting a different result.” Sadly this epitomises the Welsh electorate. They have blind faith in a Labour party that they will protect Wales from Conservative rule when they are… Read more »

Dafydd
Dafydd
27 days ago

Jonathan Edwards has been a good MP. I don’t necessarily agree with the way he’s been dealt with but this is where we are and in the circumstances I think he should now announce that he won’t stand in the forthcoming election. Rightly or wrongly he’s not going to be re-elected – this poll makes that very clear – and he will end his commendable 14-year parliamentary career with more public respect if he now stands aside in favour of Ann Davies.

R W
R W
27 days ago

Sounds promising. I hope it stays that way 🤞

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