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Higher borrowing makes scrapping two-child benefit cap unaffordable – UK Government minister

21 Aug 2024 3 minute read
Shadow chancellor Rachel Reeves (L) Photo Victoria Jones/PA Wire Chancellor Jeremy Hunt. Photo Jordan Pettitt. PA Images

An unexpected increase in government borrowing means abolishing the two-child benefit cap is unaffordable, a UK Government Treasury minister has said.

Treasury chief secretary Darren Jones appeared to explicitly rule out abolishing the cap at the next Budget in an interview on Wednesday, while conceding it was not a decision the Government would want to make “in our hearts”.

His comments come as figures released on Wednesday showed borrowing in July jumped by far more than expected, standing at £3.1 billion rather than the £1.1 billion most economists had pencilled in.

Asked about the prospects of abolishing the two-child benefit cap at the Budget on October 30, Mr Jones told the BBC’s World At One programme: “You have to just look at the economic statistics that we’re talking about today to understand why we just can’t afford to do that right now.”

He said abolishing the cap would cost £2 billion to £3 billion per year, while borrowing for the first four months of the financial year was already £4.7 billion more than expected.

Difficult decisions

Saying the public expected the Government to get public spending “back under control”, he added: “That means that we have to make very difficult decisions that in our hearts we wouldn’t want to have to make, and that includes on the two-child cap as well.”

The Government has insisted it is committed to reducing child poverty, with Education Secretary Bridget Phillipson and Work and Pensions Secretary Liz Kendall heading up a ministerial task force to develop a child poverty strategy – something that featured in Labour’s manifesto.

But charities, including those consulted by the task force, have repeatedly said abolishing the two-child limit was the simplest and most effective way of lifting children out of poverty.

Resistance to abolishing the limit brought the Government’s first rebellion, with seven MPs voting in favour of an opposition amendment to the King’s Speech calling for an end to the policy.

Those MPs – including former shadow chancellor John McDonnell and former leadership candidate Rebecca Long-Bailey – had the Labour whip suspended after their rebellion.

Asked about potential tax rises at the coming Budget, Mr Jones reiterated his party’s manifesto pledge not to increase income tax, employee national insurance contributions, or VAT.

Conservative former chancellor Jeremy Hunt accused his successor Rachel Reeves of being “committed to her economic con, regardless of the evidence”.

The shadow chancellor said there is “simply no reason or excuse to raise taxes”, telling the Daily Express: “These are tax rises that she (Ms Reeves) has planned right from the beginning, but simply did not have the courage to tell the British public about during the election.

“So as she continues to lay the ground for tax rises, one thing is clear – when they are finally revealed it will be a complete and total betrayal of the British public. She will not be forgiven for it.”


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Mab Meirion
Mab Meirion
4 months ago

Shut up Hunt, you talk of forgiveness, be assured, you are going to hell…!

Adrian
Adrian
4 months ago

Nothing about this is unexpected: the Labour party makes Boris Johnson look scrupulous.

hdavies15
hdavies15
4 months ago

Scrapping the limits on child allowances ? No chance, pet projects will always get priority. Millipede will splash cash on “overseas green projects” a.k.a diverting funds to the international corporate crime syndicate who will build crappy infrastructure in 3rd world countries of no lasting benefit and pocket the big difference.

Same goes for the winter fuel allowance. Cabinet will put on their black coats to grieve excessive deaths from cold then pop back indoors for a nice cuppa in front of the fire. These goons could yet out do the Tories for vicious indifference.

Mab Meirion
Mab Meirion
4 months ago
Reply to  hdavies15

Law and Finance…not so much Humanities…

hdavies15
hdavies15
4 months ago
Reply to  Mab Meirion

Lots of clues in the body language. Did you note Starmer’s visit to Cathays Park a few days ago? His pose with Eluned on the steps of Welsh Gov HQ was startlingly reminiscent of them good ole’days when likes of Brezshnev or Kosygin used to drop into an E European country for a cuppa. The Baroness looked like she was half pleased her head was still intact and half overawed by being in the presence of the boss of the Empire. So we have lived out 50 years and we are no better than 1974.

Mab Meirion
Mab Meirion
4 months ago
Reply to  hdavies15

‘Shiver my timbers’ I felt the same, it has backed my sails for the last couple of days…

Always clues in Body Language and Facial Recognition of the humanity of the politician and just when one thought we had turned a corner…

But the Bankers and the Fat Cats are safe for another decade, it was one more stick-up…we got fooled again…

Rhun must really lean into them…

Stalking horses to wooden horses via a clothes horse, Plots A/B/C/D…

Last edited 4 months ago by Mab Meirion
Neil Anderson
Neil Anderson
4 months ago

There is no black hole. It is economically illiterate to claim otherwise.

We have a Chancellor who only sees what she chooses through the narrow slit of an Oxford PPE. The latter is unconcerned with outcomes and perpetuates unethical actions. Change the Chancellor! And sack the Health minister – both completely out of their depth.

The Tory-Labour hegemony keeps children and families hungry. Shame. Shame on this government, and the last.

For a more accurate prism to understand the world, see Murphy today…
https://www.taxresearch.org.uk/Blog/2024/08/22/macroeconomics-cannot-be-based-on-microeconomics/

And…

https://www.taxresearch.org.uk/Blog/2024/08/22/the-fts-missing-the-point-about-kamala-harris-shes-an-ethical-pro-marketeer-and-they-arent/

Neil Anderson
Neil Anderson
4 months ago
Reply to  Neil Anderson

There are many decent people in Welsh Labour who will be shocked and saddened by the incompetence and mendacity of the Starmer government. Now is the time for them to put their integrity and values first, to protect the elderly and vulnerable, and to stand against poverty.

Now is the time to recognise that only Plaid and independence and protect our country and our people.

Ash P
Ash P
4 months ago

No wonder Labour didn’t discuss policies or the like in the run up to the election, they are no different to the Conservatives before them.

Steve Woods
Steve Woods
4 months ago

I’m old enough to remember a Labour Party that wasn’t scared to tax the rich properly, particularly their unearned income.

Padi Phillips
Padi Phillips
4 months ago

Very disappointing and lame. How ahout taxing some of the really rich? Gary Stevenson is convincing, so why aren’t Starmer & Co convinced?

https://www.youtube.com/@garyseconomics

Thatcher-Starmer-720
Howie
Howie
4 months ago

I think his boss who is married to the 2nd Permanent Secretary at Defra a very senior Civil Servant, who obviously couldn’t afford to pay his own energy bills last year so his wife claimed over a £1,200 on expenses for utilities, had already dismissed removing the cap it is just political games by Jones which affects people’s lives.

NadineD
NadineD
4 months ago

So much that we can’t afford, sadly. Like a wealth tax on multi-millionaires.

Mark
Mark
4 months ago
Reply to  NadineD

Three facts to consider: 30% of income tax is paid by the richest 1% of tax-payers (or 0.4% of the population). This reliance on tax-take from high-earners has increased significantly since 2010. The richest 300,000 people are paying 30% of income tax. The super-rich are also much more mobile than the rest, often with homes in multiple countries. Most multi-millionaires accumulated their wealth by building businesses and creating jobs. Add those together and it is pretty obvious that an envy-tax on millionaires will make everybody poorer. There might be a short-term increase in tax-take from that group, but in the… Read more »

hdavies15
hdavies15
4 months ago
Reply to  Mark

Income tax is more painful for lower earners. Super rich coves are already well insulated with carefully plotted tax “mitigation” scams schemes and those loopholes could do with a comprehensive plugging as well which would yield an even better tax take.

hdavies15
hdavies15
4 months ago
Reply to  hdavies15

Here’s a bit more that shows Reeves’ preferred direction of travel – “Rachel Reeves is expected to raise social rents higher than inflation over the next decade as part of a plan to help housing associations stay financially viable.” They’d stay viable if they cut the number of well paid hangers-on that add little or no value to the delivery of services.

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