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Influential Tory peer claims fears of a Labour government caused market turmoil

28 Sep 2022 3 minute read
Daniel Hannan Photo Gage Skidmore Gage Skidmore, CC BY-SA 3.0

An influential Conservative peer and former Brexiteer has suggested the market chaos of recent days has been driven by concerns over a possible Labour government rather than the Government’s own economic policy.

Daniel Hannan, one of the key Conservative voices behind the push to leave the EU, wrote an article for the ConservativeHome website playing down market concerns about the £45 billion package of tax cuts announced by Chancellor Kwasi Kwarteng.

In the piece, which was published on Wednesday and immediately widely mocked online, Lord Hannan wrote: “What we have seen since Friday is partly a market adjustment to the increased probability that Sir Keir Starmer will win in 2024 or 2025 – leading to higher taxes, higher spending, and a weaker economy.”

He suggested the reaction to the mini-budget, which sent the pound plummeting to historic lows and prompted a rebuke from the International Monetary Fund (IMF), was driven by “motivated reasoning”.

“Some pundits don’t like Truss, others have never forgiven the Tories for Brexit, yet others are horrified by the idea that growth, rather than equality, should be the Government’s priority.

“Fair enough. But let’s be clear-headed about what is happening.”

Unease

Mr Kwarteng’s plan has prompted unease among some Tory MPs even as the free-marketeer wing of the party has played down concerns about the impact of the tax-cutting strategy.

Lord Hannan downplayed the significance of the tax cuts in historical terms.

“To blame these tiny tax reductions for the fall in the pound is akin to a fly alighting on an exhausted shire horse as it lies down to sleep, and telling itself that it wrestled the mighty beast to the ground.”

Labelling the response to Friday’s fiscal statement as “widely mischaracterised”, he suggested the dramatic sell-off of sterling was partly prompted by a “belief that this budget has made a Labour victory more likely”.

He also suggested the drop in sterling reflects a “measure of surprise” that interest rates have not risen faster.

“Don’t pretend that higher interest rates represent a failure of Trussonomics. They are precisely what the premier (and her chancellor) want to happen,” he wrote.

Headlines

In a robust defence of the Government, he urged the Chancellor not to heed the concerns about his plans.

“He has to show that he is serious, that he cares more about long-term prosperity than about short-term headlines.

“That is why it would be bad politics, as well as terrible economics, to back down.”

The article was praised by Lord Frost, the former Brexit negotiator, who called it an “excellent piece”.

However, many mocked the article online and rubbished the peer’s analysis.

Elsewhere Julian Smith, a Tory MP and former cabinet minister, reacted strongly to comments by Lord Frost dismissing the concerns of the IMF.

“Arghhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh,” he tweeted.


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Kerry Davies
Kerry Davies
2 months ago

If it were not so hilarious it would be tragic. We pay this pair of twerps £323 a day to enjoy subsidised booze.

hdavies15
hdavies15
2 months ago
Reply to  Kerry Davies

Hannan – yet another voice in the wilderness? No, it’s just the echo effect you get when a bloke talks while his head is jammed up his arse.

Arwyn
Arwyn
2 months ago

Cloud cuckoo land.

Y Cymro
Y Cymro
2 months ago

If he’s influential god help us. Who can recall those wise words from ex-PM Theresa May (boy I’m good at sarcasm) when she warned all about a possible Labour/SNP coalition. Ah, yes. “A coalition of chaos.” Enough said. 🤣

#ToxicTories 🇬🇧 👎 #AbolishWestminster 🇬🇧. 👍#YesCymru 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿✊ #HomeRuleIsCool 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿👍#BritishRuleForTheFool 🇬🇧 🥴

Gareth
Gareth
2 months ago

To blame the economic woes, after 12 years in power, on the opposition, and say it without laughing, and coincide with Russia’s announcement of polls in occupied Ukraine, takes some cohones. Strikingly similar in their incredulity, one could imagine the same script writer producing both.

Quornby
Quornby
2 months ago

London has two government gangs…. The jets and the sharks. They have two things in common… Careerism and a total indifference to the Welsh.

Steve Duggan
Steve Duggan
2 months ago

Hmmm why is there a very good chance of a Labour government at the next GE, I wonder? Could it be that the public have finally, yes finally. ( It’s taken them long enough!!!) …. had enough of the wrecking Tories ? After Austerity, Brexit, Parties, Corruption and now…. Truss, the markets have had enough of this “Dooms Day Cult” of a party too!

Peter Cuthbert
Peter Cuthbert
2 months ago
Reply to  Steve Duggan

I have heard it reported that in the corridors of banking power, and thus presumably Westminster, there is a tendency for the partaking of lots of white powder. Perhaps this statement was made while under the influence. After all a sober examination of the evidence would suggest a very different reason for the ‘chaos’.

Mab Meirion
Mab Meirion
2 months ago

Over in the States it’s Q anon here it is B(rexit) anon…

David Smith
David Smith
2 months ago

So if they brought through the policies, presumably knowing they’d be unpopular, thereby increasing the chances of a Labour government next election, (given all the advisors they have), then the blame circles right back to them anyway, regardless of this prat’s contrived attempt at blame shifting.

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