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Leaked letter reveals Lib Dem leader’s position on the Budget

17 Feb 2025 5 minute read
Jane Dodds MS – Image: Senedd Cymru

Martin Shipton

Welsh Liberal Democrat leader Jane Dodds, who could provide the crucial vote needed to pass the Welsh Government’s Budget, has set out her position in a “confidential” email to all party members.

But some are not happy with her willingness to, as they see it, prop up Labour – as well as the fact that Ms Dodds is informing members rather than consulting them.

With Welsh Labour having only 30 of the 60 Senedd seats, it needs the support of one more MS to get the 2025-26 Budget passed. Labour has been discussing with Ms Dodds – the only Lib Dem Senedd Member – what concessions it could make to secure her vote.

In her confidential email, leaked to Nation.Cymru, she states: “ You may have seen in recent weeks that Welsh Labour has held talks with all political parties in the Senedd regarding the Budget. As a member of the Welsh Liberal Democrats, I want to update you on how I am approaching our discussions with the Welsh Government.”

‘Change’

Under the headline Why passing a budget matters, Ms Dodds optimistically writes: “I understand how, for over 25 years, Welsh Labour has failed to deliver the fair and prosperous country we want Wales to be. There is no denying that people across Wales increasingly want change.

“Our opportunity for that change comes in next May’s Senedd election, and I know you will play your part in delivering the biggest Welsh Liberal Democrat result we have ever seen. Whatever happens in the upcoming Budget vote will not, on its own, deliver the brighter future Wales needs.

“Although this Budget is a better settlement than we have received from the Conservatives in Westminster, it is not a silver bullet.

“However, the worrying truth is that if the Welsh Government fails to pass a Budget, Wales will lose around £5bn in funding. Just think about what losing all that funding would mean for our schools, hospitals, and other vital services.”

‘Negativity’

Ms Dodds states it is important to “avoid knee-jerk negativity”, adding: “I know that some in the party would like the Welsh Liberal Democrats, as an opposition party, to vote against everything the Welsh Government does. But I entered politics to improve people’s lives and strengthen communities. As the sole Welsh Liberal Democrat MS, and as someone who passionately believes in electoral reform and doing politics differently, I think that sometimes it is essential for politicians to put party politics aside and engage in constructive dialogue with other political parties to deliver for the people of Wales.

“With this in mind, I am approaching our talks with the Welsh Government in the hope that we can improve the Budget while remaining true to our party’s values.”

She states that her two budget tests are:

1. Is Wales getting a fair deal from Westminster?

2. Is the Welsh Government spending its funds in a way that aligns with Welsh Liberal Democrat policies to deliver a fair and prosperous country?”

HS2

Ms Dodds adds: “Like many, I do not believe that Wales is getting a fair deal from the UK Government. Labour’s failure to devolve the Crown Estate, or secure additional funding for Wales as a result of HS2 construction in England, demonstrates that the status quo is not working for Wales.

“These two measures would be straightforward for the UK Government to implement, as they have already done for Scotland. Despite my frustrations, I believe it is crucial that we, as Welsh Liberal Democrats, continue to argue for a better deal for Wales.

“The second test is whether the Budget reflects Liberal Democrat values and whether our input can improve it to make people’s lives better.

“In recent years, the party has run several major campaigns supported by people across Wales. Our approach has been to push the Welsh Government to allocate more funding in these areas.

“As I have stated repeatedly in recent weeks, this means ensuring the Welsh Government spends more money on:

* Social care – to reduce the number of people facing delayed discharge from our hospitals and ease pressure on NHS services.;

* Free childcare for pre-school children, to help parents through the cost of living crisis, reduce child poverty and boost Wales’ economy.

* Tackling water pollution in our rivers and seas, by improving monitoring and enforcement.

Improving roads and public transport.

“Additionally, I believe it is vital that more funding is allocated to local councils across Wales.

“It is important to remember that we do not currently have a Budget deal, and as I have stated previously, without substantial changes to the draft Budget, I am unable to support it. I will do my best to update you on the situation ahead of the vote on March 4.”

Consulting

The letter was leaked to us by a prominent Welsh Liberal Democrat, who told us: “We should not be going into next year’s Senedd election having propped up a failing Labour government, That will not go down well with the electorate.

“It’s also pretty shocking that Jane Dodds is informing the party membership about what she intends to do rather than consulting us. At one time parties consulted their members before deciding on a course of action. That seems to be a thing of the past, certainly so far as the Welsh Lib Dems are concerned.

“This all started when Kirsty Williams was appointed to the Cabinet as Education Minister. She may have been a good minister, but her position in government did nothing for the party.”


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Gareth W
Gareth W
3 days ago

While I’m sympathetic to the Welsh Liberal Democrat member on not being consulted, I do think Jane Dodds is right to help to secure the extra funding coming from the Treasury, while ensuring that some of that money is spent on LD priorities (which, let’s face it, aren’t a million miles away Labour’s!)

John Ellis
John Ellis
3 days ago
Reply to  Gareth W

I agree. I think that she’s presented a reasoned argument and that, on balance, she probably looks set to be making the best, if not the ideal, decision. But then in politics not that many decisions are ‘ideal’ – simple, straightforward, clear and beyond question.

She may pay a price for it, though. As the late Carmarthenshire political pundit Alan Watkins regularly used to say, ‘politics is a rough old trade’.

Pete
Pete
3 days ago

Great to see at least one opposition leader is prepared to put Wales first. The £5Bn Plaid and the Tories are putting at risk in order to say we voted against the Labour Budget would put almost every council into massive council tax increase or bankruptcy territory

Brychan
Brychan
3 days ago

Why is it that Wales will lose around £5bn in funding if the budhet is not passed? That is Welsh cash and should be ‘reserved’ to a time when a suitable budget is agreed upon. The Labour Party are holding Wales hostage. 

Barnaby
Barnaby
3 days ago

Add preference voting to the deal.

Undecided
Undecided
3 days ago

She will very probably abstain and the budget will pass. However, the vote the Lib Dem’s will come to regret is supporting closed list voting. Can’t see them making the 12-13% threshold for representation and thus Ms Dodds will disappear.

Brian Coman
Brian Coman
24 minutes ago

The Labour Senedd members have squeezed the only Lib.Dem vote out of a dog loving Jane Dodds by making greyhound racing illegal, which isn’t a bad thing.Its not everyday a parliamentary vote is saved by a few dogs. The minutes of that meeting would raise a few laughs !

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