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No drop off in Welsh independence support despite YesCymru troubles, poll suggests

10 Mar 2022 1 minute read
Lluniau gan / Pictures by Lluniau Lleucu

There has been no drop off in support for Welsh independence despite the troubles of the national movement over the past year, a new poll suggests.

The latest YouGov poll for Welsh independence projects that 21% would vote for independence while 53% would oppose. That compares with 22% in support and 54% against in the last Welsh independence poll in April of 2021.

The poll results by YouGov come after a year of upheaval in the Welsh independence movement. The polling company quizzed 1086 Adults in Wales between 25th February and 1st March 2022.

YesCymru YouGov polls

Last August the remaining members of the central committee of YesCymru resigned. It followed a period of turmoil within the organisation, with a number of other resignations, including that of former Chair, Sion Jobbins.

But in December YesCymru members voted to adopt a new structure and constitution for the campaign group. 80% or 2717 voted in favour of the motion, and just 489 against.

A new National Governing Body was then elected in January.

In a statementlast month, the new National Governing Body said they had “now started our work”.


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Dai Rob
Dai Rob
1 year ago

28% with Dont Knows excluded.

Dick ifan dyke
Dick ifan dyke
1 year ago
Reply to  Dai Rob

Which is 72% no on the opposite side.

Philip Jones
Philip Jones
1 year ago

As soon as we start marching again I believe support will grow

Owain Morgan
Owain Morgan
1 year ago

The don’t know camp has increased and only those opposed have reduced in numbers. In other words, Independence is a much better option than being out of the EU under a far right Tory UK government. This isn’t news to anyone 😉

Pricey
Pricey
1 year ago
Reply to  Owain Morgan

If it is 21%, or thereabouts, that is actually quite high. Scottish figures hovered around 15-20% a few years before their Referendum. Catalan figures were also in the 20-25% region until a surge about 15 years back

John Young
John Young
1 year ago
Reply to  Pricey

There’s absolutely no point in joining in with the discussion Lionel if you’re just going to ignore the pro Indy points being made.The point I presume Pricey is making is that in Scotland the figures pre referendum were similar to what they are now in Wales. But when the YES/NO arguments were being made in the build up to the ref a very large number of Scots who may have been unsure were persuaded by the YES argument. This is shown by the jump to 45% in the YES vote. This is a fact and ignoring it won’t make it… Read more »

I.Humphrys
I.Humphrys
1 year ago
Reply to  Pricey

Wasting your time. Go and feed your rabbit.

Y Cymro
Y Cymro
1 year ago

The fog of Unionism is slowly clearing in Wales thankfully. Independence is a natural state enjoyed by numerous countries around the world geographically smaller with less population that are way poorer than Wales.

And the ones that favour Welsh dependency on Whitehall highlighting the “benefits” of the United Kingdom even though Wales was and still is a resource rich country but still suffers historical poverty even though allegedly part of the world’s 5 or 6th largest economy is an injustice. akin to someone starving whilst being trapped in a larder stocked to the ceiling with its own food.

John Williams
John Williams
1 year ago

No doubt BBC Wales will soon come out with a poll saying that only 7% want Independence.

R W
R W
1 year ago
Reply to  John Williams

You’re right, it’s always those BBC polls that are misleading because of the way they are conducted.

hdavies15
hdavies15
1 year ago

Of course independence should not be owned by YC or anyone else. Events over the last year or more have proved that people promoting single or a narrow range of issues display little or no tolerance of others. They make no attempt to communicate with people who hold other opinions nor do they ever pause to consider those opinions. It prompted me to suspect that an outside power was playing games and using some of these people as proxies and agents of disruption. I suspect that although YC may yet hold successful rallies and marches it will be severely challenged… Read more »

I.Humphrys
I.Humphrys
1 year ago
Reply to  hdavies15

That’s the whole point of Yes Cymru. Breadth of opinion under the brolly.

Last edited 1 year ago by I.Humphrys
hdavies15
hdavies15
1 year ago
Reply to  I.Humphrys

Sadly it flew in the face of its purpose when the single issue and narrow views took over. Now it’s possibly going to go the other way and exclude those who were in ascendancy last year. Is it too much to ask that they all inhabit the same broad ambition and use their opinions in a more constructive, less destructive way ? As things stand it’s quite easy for the outside power to play its devious games through these segments – divide and conquer made easy by the victims.

Cwm Rhondda
Cwm Rhondda
1 year ago

Whatever your view point on independence and the internal machinations of Yes Cymru. The facts are that over the last 100 years there has been a socialist majority in Wales in every single one of the UK General Elections. In the UK, Labour has been in power (with the help of Welsh and Scottish Labour voters) for only 31% (approx) of the time. I’m not aware of any other country in the world where one country which has one set of political values is happy to be governed by another country with different political values.

I.Humphrys
I.Humphrys
1 year ago

Your rabbit’s starving!

Cai Wogan Jones
Cai Wogan Jones
1 year ago

Let us not kid ourselves. With support for independence hovering around 20%, these are profoundly disappointing figures. If people prefer Westminster rule led by Boris Johnson, Priti Patel and Nadine Dorries to government accountable to our own electorate, the cause of Welsh independence has vanishingly small prospects of success. Sorry.

Quornby
Quornby
1 year ago

Cai, this journey has taken a long time and will take more but the difference in attitude I’ve seen in my lifetime is staggering by any standard. I’m old now and may not be around to see our independent state but I’m totally convinced that my children will see the day.

Mark drakeford
Mark drakeford
1 year ago

We all know devolution hasn’t worked out as well as we originally hoped and if anything support for further separation has dwindled. We need to get back focussed on jobs, education and nhs. We are massively lagging the rest of the U.K. is Devolution to blame? Probably not, has it contributed? Probably yes

Ernie The Smallholder
Ernie The Smallholder
1 year ago
Reply to  Mark drakeford

The reason for the people of Wales identifying with the struggles of Ukraine is that the latter was once the driving force of 20th century USSR, sharing sovereignty the same way that Wales is doing in the UK. We know what happens in a union where one large part dominates. Recent events have shown that trust from small nations such as Wales and the Ukraine towards their larger neighbour has never worked in its interest, especially when that big neighbour has taken it on themselves to follow an isolationist and un-democratic course of action. It must be clear to you,… Read more »

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