Wales would now vote to Remain in the EU, according to two new polls

A Welsh dragon on the EU flag

Wales would vote to remain in the EU if the poll was re-run, according to the projections of two new polls published today.

A Survation poll projected that only Pembrokeshire, Torfaen, Flintshire and Wrexham would vote to Leave the EU today, and by small margins of 50.29%, 51.3%, 50.53% and 51.53%.

A YouGov poll for ITV and Cardiff University also projected that 51% would now vote to Remain in Wales, with 20% voting to leave with a deal and 30% with no deal if voters in Wales were offered those three options in a hypothetical referendum.

However, only 41% supported a second referendum in the YouGov poll, with 49% in opposition.

In July 2016, 854,572 (52.5%) voters in Wales chose to leave the EU, compared with 772,347 (47.5%) supporting Remain.

Only five areas – Gwynedd, Cardiff, Ceredigion, the Vale of Glamorgan and Monmouthshire – voted for Remain.

Survation’s survey of 20,090 people living in the UK, across every parliamentary constituency, was featured as part of a live discussion programme on Channel 4, “Brexit: What The Nation Really Thinks”.

According to the survey, the average Leave vote across Wales would be 46%. Here is the full breakdown of figures for Wales from the Survation poll:

 

Local Authority Leave share 2016 Estimate leave share 2018 Change in support for Leave % would accept the deal
Isle of Anglesey 50.94% 44.17% -6.77% 42.80%
Gwynedd 41.95% 36.47% -5.48% 42.90%
Conwy 53.98% 48.27% -5.71% 45.00%
Denbighshire 54.00% 49.25% -4.75% 44.50%
Flintshire 56.37% 50.53% -5.84% 45.80%
Wrexham 59.04% 51.53% -7.51% 43.70%
Ceredigion 45.37% 37.08% -8.29% 44.00%
Pembrokeshire 57.14% 50.29% -6.85% 45.80%
Carmarthenshire 53.75% 45.04% -8.71% 42.70%
Swansea 51.51% 43.16% -8.35% 42.20%
Neath Port Talbot 56.84% 46.46% -10.38% 40.30%
Bridgend 54.64% 46.70% -7.94% 43.20%
Vale of Glamorgan 49.27% 45.85% -3.42% 44.50%
Cardiff 39.98% 35.24% -4.74% 41.80%
Rhondda Cynon Taf 53.70% 43.49% -10.21% 41.20%
Caerphilly 57.63% 47.58% -10.05% 41.30%
Blaenau Gwent 62.03% 49.07% -12.96% 40.10%
Torfaen 59.78% 51.30% -8.48% 42.60%
Monmouthshire 49.56% 46.47% -3.09% 45.70%
Newport 55.99% 48.25% -7.74% 42.70%
Powys 53.74% 49.10% -4.64% 47.60%
Merthyr Tydfil 56.44% 47.03% -9.41% 40.30%

 

Local Authority % think goods checks acceptable % think live/work in other countries acceptable % think manufacturing regulations acceptable % think limits of trade deals acceptable
Isle of Anglesey 43.40% 74.70% 60.40% 21.50%
Gwynedd 45.10% 75.00% 64.30% 23.40%
Conwy 43.40% 73.00% 58.30% 19.80%
Denbighshire 42.90% 73.20% 59.00% 21.10%
Flintshire 42.80% 70.30% 57.30% 21.10%
Wrexham 44.70% 71.00% 58.90% 22.20%
Ceredigion 43.90% 78.20% 64.00% 23.20%
Pembrokeshire 43.60% 73.60% 57.70% 21.20%
Carmarthenshire 45.60% 71.60% 59.70% 22.80%
Swansea 43.60% 74.60% 60.60% 23.10%
Neath Port Talbot 45.10% 71.10% 60.20% 24.10%
Bridgend 42.60% 72.70% 58.70% 22.60%
Vale of Glamorgan 40.00% 74.50% 59.90% 20.50%
Cardiff 43.10% 77.40% 65.60% 24.80%
Rhondda Cynon Taf 43.90% 73.90% 60.80% 23.60%
Caerphilly 42.10% 70.60% 59.00% 22.50%
Blaenau Gwent 47.30% 71.30% 58.50% 23.80%
Torfaen 43.60% 71.80% 57.80% 22.30%
Monmouthshire 39.70% 74.40% 58.40% 18.90%
Newport 44.80% 71.10% 58.90% 22.60%
Powys 41.20% 74.70% 58.30% 20.10%
Merthyr Tydfil 43.50% 71.40% 59.60% 23.00%

 

Articles via Email

Get instant updates to your inbox

We do not moderate comments before they appear. The views expressed in the comments are those of our users and do not necessarily reflect the views of Nation. Cymru. Please read our community standards and participation guidelines before contributing.

Comments are closed.