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10% increase in support for Welsh independence in a year, YouGov poll finds

19 Nov 2020 2 minute read
Picture by Lluniau Lleucu / Yes Cymru

Support for Welsh independence has jumped 10% in just a year, a new poll by YouGov suggests.

The latest poll puts support for independence at 33%, compared to 22% in early December 2019.

YesCymru, who commissioned the poll, said it showed support for independence was “the strongest it’s ever been”.

Independence polls over the last year have shown a steady increase, they say. All figures are with ‘don’t know’ removed:

  • YouGov /YesCymru: 11 – 16 November (2020) – 33%
  • YouGov /ITV Cymru Wales & Cardiff U: October 26 – 29 (2020) – 32%
  • YouGov /ITV Cymru Wales & Cardiff U: August 28 – September 4 (2020) – 32%
  • YouGov /YesCymru: 24 – 27 August (2020) – 32%
  • YouGov /ITV Cymru Wales & Cardiff U: 29 May – 1 June (2020) – 32%
  • YouGov /ITV Cymru Wales & Cardiff U: 20 – 23 Jan (2020) – 27%
  • YouGov /ITV Cymru Wales & Cardiff U: December 6-9 (2019) – 22%



YesCymru Chair, Sion Jobbins, said that the status quo was now no longer an option.

“Support for independence is the strongest it’s ever been, with 33% of the people of Wales now saying that they would vote for Welsh independence if a referendum was held tomorrow,” he said.

“That’s a six point increase from January, and a massive 11 point increase since December last year.

“It’s very clear that more and more people are coming to the conclusion that Westminster doesn’t work for Wales. We’ve seen this not only with the poll results, but with a huge surge in YesCymru membership, recently hitting 15,000 paid up members, where we were at around 2,500 in January. That’s more members than nearly every political party in Wales.

“In light of Boris Johnson’s comments on devolution being ‘a disaster’, and our recent poll that showed 59% would vote for devo-max in a referendum – a move that stops just short of independence – it really is time for the Welsh Government to get serious about what it wants to happen, and make its constitutional position clear. The status quo just isn’t an option anymore.

“People want change, but that change won’t come from Westminster. Change is happening in the minds of people across Wales, but with the Senedd elections on the horizon, it needs to be reflected in the members voted into the Senedd. Wales has to vote for people who won’t wait for orders or favours from Westminster, we have to vote for the change we want.”

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