Conservatives on course to lose three Welsh ‘Red Wall’ seats after NI rise according to new poll
Tory MPs are on course to lose three Welsh seats in the ‘Red Wall’ according to a new poll conducted following the announcement that they would abandon a manifesto pledge not to raise National Insurance.
The poll by the Telegraph projects that the party would lose Delyn, Wrexham and Clwyd South if an election was held on present boundaries, and face a hung parliament in the House of Commons.
An investigation by Nation.Cymru published yesterday showed that many Welsh Conservative MPs, including Wrexham’s Sarah Atherton and Clwyd South’s Simon Baynes, campaigned on cutting or not raising taxes before 2019’s General Election.
The Telegraph‘s poll of 10,000 Britons was surveyed by Electoral Calculus and FindOutNow on Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday of this week. It showed that the Conservatives would lose 54 seats won during the 2019 election, falling 15 short of a majority.
Labour would pick up 41 seats, winning 244 seats in total.
Delyn is currently held by independent MP Rob Roberts who has lost the Conservative whip.
Wales’ constituencies are due to be cut from 40 to 32 by the time of the next election, with parts of Clwyd South merged with Wrexham and Montgomeryshire, and parts of Delyn with Labour-held Alyn and Deeside.