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Progressive parties in Wales may have to work together to keep Reform out of power, says Mark Drakeford

16 May 2025 7 minute read
Mark Drakeford and other panellists at the Irish Consulate in Cardiff

Martin Shipton

Reform UK will seek to “tear down” Welsh devolution if it gains a significant presence in the Senedd after next year’s election, according to Mark Drakeford.

To combat such a threat, progressive parties will have to work together to ensure that a functioning Welsh Government is created.

The former First Minister and current Cabinet Secretary for Finance made the prediction during an event to launch a new book that examines political change in Britain and Ireland.

‘Implode’

Speaking at the Irish Consulate in Cardiff Bay, Mr Drakeford responded to a question about the rise of Reform in Wales, saying: “Nothing is inevitable in politics. A year is a very long time. I don’t think I would use the word likely in relation to Reform. I’d use the word possible, because parties that mushroom up can also implode on one another – and there’s plenty of evidence of that in the past as well.

“Reform is essentially an English nationalist party, attempting to find a foothold for itself in Wales. My hope will be that the disinfectant that comes with sunlight when the spotlight is on them will expose some of that for what it is. And that is what happened when we had seven Ukippers whose company we enjoyed for five long years [between 2016 and 2021]..

“Not a single one of them survived the next election because as people saw them for what they were, that superficial and initial attractiveness wore off. So I don’t think we should be afraid of the way that democracy will deal with that threat.

“If there is a significant number of Reform people in the Senedd, they will be there to tear the institution down, rather than to make it a success. And that will place an additional obligation on progressive parties to come together to make sure that the Senedd can be run, that a government can be formed that can meet the needs of those people in Wales who have always preferred political parties on the part of the spectrum. So I think [the threat of Reform] will have an integrative effect on others.”

One-way relationship

Speaking of the book of essays Political Change across Britain and Ireland, Mr Drakeford said there were three reasons why he thought it made a major contribution: “The last time the British Irish Council met in Wales, it met in St Fagans.

“Wales is responsible for the strand in the British Irish Council, that deals with lesser-used languages. In the plenary session, there were six different languages spoken. I was there with Jeremy Miles, so we made our contributions in Welsh;. Kate Forbes represented the Scottish Government, so she spoke in Scots Gaelic; Michael Martin, represented the Republic government and, of course, he spoke in Iris;. The Jersey representative spoke in Jèrriais;. the Manx Prime Minister spoke in Manx; and only Michael Gove spoke in English.

“I think what that did is what the book does, really: it pulls us away in Wales from what is sometimes our obsession with a one-way relationship with our most powerful neighbour, where when we think about Wales inside Britain and the wider islands, it’s that relationship which dominates our thinking.

“In a forum where six different languages were being spoken, it just reminded you of the enormous diversity that there actually is within such a small geographical area. And what the book does is it just pulls us away from that focus on England and Wales, and instead allows us to explore the many other relationships that Wales has with other parts of Britain and Ireland. And I think that’s a very liberating thing. And it quite certainly does open up all sorts of other possibilities for the way in which those relationships might be configured in the future. So my first reason for commending the book is quite definitely that if you want to see those different perspectives and to be able to think again about those bilateral, trilateral, quadrilateral, relationships, then the book is a very, very good entry point for all of that.

“Secondly, the book is written in a post-Brexit context. I think it powerfully reminds us that Wales goes on being a European country. Most of our most powerful affiliations remain at that European level. But handled sensitively, our relationship with the Republic of Ireland is our most obvious entry point back into some of those doors that have been semi-shut to us and the enormous prizes to be won as a result of that.

“I remember Nicola Sturgeon used to refer to the UK Government’s failure to negotiate continued membership of Erasmus+ as an act of cultural vandalism. But its refusal to negotiate continued membership of Interreg [a series of EU funding programmes that support cooperation across borders] is another culpable failure on the part of the UK Government at that time. I would go to meeting after meeting in which I would make the case for, and the European Union were absolutely open to, continued Interreg relationships. We have, in our modest way, tried to keep some of that alive. There is a small amount of money from Wales in that.

“Paschal Donohoe, the Finance Minister in Ireland, has been a huge supporter of that, mobilising some funds from the Irish side as well to prevent the complete atrophying of relationships that have been built up for over 20 years, through membership of Interreg.

“In many ways, when I think of all the many meetings and conversations that I had around Brexit, one that absolutely remains with me is going to Aberystwyth and talking to a group of academic colleagues there. A sense of loss from the end of Interreg: it’s not just the end of a bit of funding. It’s not just that you’re not going to be able to do something you used to do.

“There was a sense of a 20-year investment that they had made alongside colleagues in different institutions in Ireland, somehow just being wiped off the table as though it mattered for nothing, and wasn’t worth investing in in the future.

“We absolutely did not take that point of view, and we were very lucky to have willing partners in that through the government in Dublin. So the second reason for anybody wanting to engage with the book is that as well as offering an entry point to the relationships between the component parts of Britain and Ireland, it also places that in a wider context of what relationships with the EU can still mean, for the component parts that we have here.

“My third and final reason for wanting to commend the book very boldly to you all, is that it does something in a space which we have had a preoccupation with, here in Wales. It was a preoccupation of my great friend and predecessor, Rhodri Morgan. It’s something which I’ve been interested in the whole time I’ve been involved in Welsh politics, which is the breaking down of the barriers between people who work in the practical trade of politics and people who work in our universities and offer us the raw material that we need and the analytical tools we need in order to be able to do the jobs we do to the best of our ability.

“We need more people who are able to have at least one foot in both of those worlds in order to be able to fertilise between the two. So the people who develop theoretical understandings and assemble the data and things like that are able to test that against the way in which the political world operates, and people in the world of politics are better informed and equipped to do what they do because they have the advantage of being able to draw on the work that is done in universities.”

Political Change Across Britain and Ireland, edited by Irish Times journalist and academic Paul Gillespie, Michael Keating and Nicola McEwen is published by Edinburgh University at £90.


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Garycymru
Garycymru
6 months ago

How is it even legal, that any party is allowed to exist to remove democracy of any kind?
It’s not just the parties that need to work together, but all of the decent people in Wales should work together to show that the extreme right just aren’t welcome here. It’s more than a person’s politics, its an outlook on life when you want to remove democracy and and ban certain skin colours, minorities etc.
Someone wanting what reform offer is as welcome in a community as a sex offender.

Pete
Pete
6 months ago
Reply to  Garycymru

They’ve had 25 years to do something and have done absolutely zero. Horrors like Reform don’t come out of nowhere.

Nicholas Alderton
Nicholas Alderton
6 months ago
Reply to  Pete

So, by that measure, they’ll be advocating the removal of Westminster due to the complete mess of the last 14 years? Wales has only had a Senedd/parliament for a fraction of that time and law making powers we’re not properly given during the 25 years.

Also, removing a democratic Senedd/parliament is ideological and, if they do that, we need to be even more worried about how far they’re prepared to go.

Thomas
Thomas
6 months ago
Reply to  Garycymru

It seems you advocate denying people their democratic right in an effort to protect your preferred form of democracy. I don’t know if that is ironic, hypocritical or just a very blinkered view of the world.
Do you also think that any party advocating rejoining the EU should be banned on the grounds they would cede power from our democratically elected politicians to the unelected and unaccountable Commission?

Hal
Hal
6 months ago
Reply to  Thomas

Certainly an Abolish Westminster party should be free to exist.

Daniel Pitt
Daniel Pitt
6 months ago

Richard Tice has said the UK should be more like UAE. I wonder if he also believes consenting same-sex relations should be criminalised? It’s weird how members of such a strongly anti-Muslim party are also praising a strict Islamist regime.

Last edited 6 months ago by Daniel Pitt
J Jones
J Jones
6 months ago

‘Progressive parties in Wales’! Do we have any?

To progress you need a healthy vibrant economy, not politics for a horse and cart economy.

With regard to Reform; the loony left opens the door to the nasty right, so maybe the harsh reality of an election may change the attitude of our failing politicians.

hdavies15
hdavies15
6 months ago
Reply to  J Jones

Exactly. Dozy so-called progressives have not showed much “progress” here in Wales. More like a contentment with sitting on their hands spending loot on pet projects and moaning about shortage of funds when the real needs of the country are left unfunded.

Baxter
Baxter
6 months ago
Reply to  J Jones

You don’t need anything to be a progressive other than a wish to see things improve.

hdavies15
hdavies15
6 months ago
Reply to  Baxter

Labour have had the driving seat in Wales for over 25 years. Plenty of time to move beyond wishing and into the serious doing phase.

robin campbell
robin campbell
6 months ago
Reply to  J Jones

Mike Drakeford likes playing the ‘Welshman’ when it suits him. He should get the finger out of his a……. and fight for independence. Otherwise he’s just as much a Brit nationalist as those that keep Wales poor and under the thumb which Reform will only cement.

Mab Meirion
Mab Meirion
6 months ago

Listen to them, they would rather Reform beats them than Plaid have a chance of building a nation…

David Richards
David Richards
6 months ago

Checking Reform’s seeming and worrying rise in Wales hasnt been helped by the leader of Mark Drakeford”s party at Westminister channeling a certain Enoch Powell this week.

TJ
TJ
6 months ago
Reply to  David Richards

What is your reason to think that Reform is a ( worrying rise ) ?

David Richards
David Richards
6 months ago
Reply to  TJ

Lol… well for starters theres the candidates and councillors they periodically have to suspend because theyve expressed support for hitler or expressed support for neo fascists like tommy robinson

TJ
TJ
6 months ago
Reply to  David Richards

Tommy Robinson has been telling the truth about ( you know what ) for many years and the establishment and those involved are still trying to shut him up.. he’s not a neo fascist he’s a truth teller.

Tucker
Tucker
6 months ago
Reply to  TJ

What truth?

1000008384
Tucker
Tucker
6 months ago
Reply to  TJ

What truths? He can’t even use his real name. Stephen Yaxley Lennon. The man who lied and got deported from Canada, America and claims to be Irish born. So he’s just another immigrant.

1000004171
Tucker
Tucker
6 months ago
Reply to  TJ

Or how he covered up pedophiles in the EDL? That truth?

Tucker
Tucker
6 months ago
Reply to  TJ

Where is Tomme Ten Names when the white grooming gangs like the Catholic church ministers are exposed?

Johnny
Johnny
6 months ago
Reply to  Tucker

Jailed for contempt of court even though he had previous warnings.
Yet his supporters ignore this and use the boring old 2 tier line.

Tucker
Tucker
6 months ago
Reply to  Johnny

Amd don’t forget him threatening journalists and their families. When they’ve did expose him for things.

Tucker
Tucker
6 months ago
Reply to  TJ

Here is the EDL attempting to get one of its members conviction for pedophile charges dropped. https://politicsandinsights.org/2018/05/29/the-edl-have-paedophiles-in-their-ranks-but-tommy-robinson-evidently-doesnt-condemn-them/

Thomas
Thomas
6 months ago
Reply to  David Richards

Can you name a political party that hasn’t suspended anybody for one act of impropriety or another? Labour has suspended dozens of anti-semites including its former leader. Plaid expelled an MS for groping and an MP for wife-beating. I am sure you can come up with your own list of Tory misdemeanours. If we judge large groups of people based on the actions of a small sub-set, we are all in trouble.

Tucker
Tucker
6 months ago
Reply to  Thomas

Yes the Labour Party did expell loads of Jewish antisemites and anyone who criticised Isreal.
It’s a pity you didn’t mention that part

Baxter
Baxter
6 months ago
Reply to  David Richards

Starmer won’t have boosted Reform with his Reform-style rhetoric, he’ll have boosted the Greens, the Dems and PC.

John Ellis
John Ellis
6 months ago

“And that will place an additional obligation on progressive parties to come together to make sure that the Senedd can be run, that a government can be formed that can meet the needs of those people in Wales who have always preferred political parties on the part of the spectrum. So I think [the threat of Reform] will have an integrative effect on others.”

That’s certainly happened in the Netherlands and in Germany, so it’s pretty likely to happen here too, assuming that the election result is such that it prompts that reaction.

Last edited 6 months ago by John Ellis
Jeff
Jeff
6 months ago

Reform will wreck the place. Nige doesn’t do devolution or power sharing, he follows orders from his handlers. He runs away when his grift fails, a political coward. His only claim to fame is brexit and that has damaged the UK for decades. One of the area’s they won, they have put a 19 and 20 year old ex public schoolboys in charge of critical services. These services are for care. Many councillor’s have been exposed as far right and hate paddlers as their previous socials are shown to the world. News and politicos’s, dig the dirt because they will… Read more »

TheOtherJones
TheOtherJones
6 months ago

Does Drakeford not realise he’s, in part, responsible for their rise in Wales? His steadfast refusal to do anything substantive to change the status quo over the last decade – which his own independent commission found to be unsustainable – has contributed to this. He’s spent years lambasting those of us that want Wales to have more agency to improve things and the chickens are coming home to roost. He and his ilk have made it appear near impossible to drive things forward so instead *some* people are seeking to take a wrecking ball to it instead. Unfortunately Reform are… Read more »

Steffan ap Huw
Steffan ap Huw
6 months ago
Reply to  TheOtherJones

Spot on. Tory failure at UK level, and Labour’s complacency in Wales have led to this.

Of course, it’s one thing to criticise from the sidelines (as Reform is doing), and quite another to actually perform (as Labour haven’t).

Undecided
Undecided
6 months ago
Reply to  TheOtherJones

Absolutely right. Welsh Labour love to call themselves “progressive” and “radical “. However they are anything but in reality e.g avoiding difficult issues such as reform of the highly regressive Council tax system. Instead we get a constant diet of virtue signaling on marginal issues.

Baxter
Baxter
6 months ago
Reply to  Undecided

That’s an odd one to duck because a fairer council tax system would benefit the less well off at the expense of politicians and civil servants who can afford larger homes. Baffling.

Last edited 6 months ago by Baxter
Undecided
Undecided
6 months ago
Reply to  Baxter

It’s just one example – others include local government reform, social care, business rates and the list goes on. It’s easier to spend time blaming Westminster than take tricky decisions, so perhaps not so baffling.

Annibendod
Annibendod
6 months ago

Welsh Labour are a busted flush. Vote Plaid and you will get a Left of Centre party that has consistently held Labour’s feet to the fire and fought for decent policies. Vote Plaid and you will get Plaid Senedd representatives. Vote Green or Libs, apart from one or two constituencies, and it will split the vote and let Reform in.

Peter J
Peter J
6 months ago

I strongly suspect whoever is in power is going to have to relook at the electoral voting system sooner or later. Based on the new system and current voter turnout, there is a very real prospect of candidates being voted in with the support of 6-9% of the electoral population in that particular super constituency. There will be real legitimacy issue with some elected politicians

Baxter
Baxter
6 months ago
Reply to  Peter J

Don’t the 9% deserve a voice?

Thomas
Thomas
6 months ago
Reply to  Baxter

In the 2024 general election, Greens got 6%, SNP 3%, Plaid <1%. @Peter J clearly thinks the MPs from those parties have no democratic legitimacy.

Peter J
Peter J
6 months ago
Reply to  Thomas

I think you misread or misunderstood my comment. Or don’t fully understand the maths. Or all of the above. The current system means “Six winners takes all” and is indefensible when some of those winners are getting 6-9% in a constituency due to low voter turnout (I am not talking about national data). My suggestion would be to move to preferential voting or some form of weighted system like they ahve in other countries for fairly obvious reasons. There is no other countries use this system As an aside, I saw one senedd candidate, received ’11’ votes from her local… Read more »

Last edited 6 months ago by Peter J
Maesglas
Maesglas
6 months ago

Reform in Wales is a terrifying prospect because they care nothing about Wales, and many of their former members of UKIP were only recently calling for the Abolition of the Senedd. But Labour, including Drakeford, have not helped. Their tribalism only makes things worse. Drakeford made several speeches not long ago wanting to make Wales a Tory-free zone. I am not a Tory or ever have been, but it’s in the nature of a healthy democracy to have a spectrum of opinions; otherwise, voters will feel they are living in an elected dictatorship. Thankfully, our new voting system should prevent… Read more »

Cwm Rhondda
Cwm Rhondda
6 months ago

Welsh Labour progressive? Come to the valleys and see for yourself.

Rob
Rob
6 months ago

Does that mean Labour have to make some concessions as well Mr Drakeford? Because Eluned Morgan was acting like we still have a first past the post system where voting Plaid helps Reform. The way polls are suggesting the opposite is true.

If Labour are making concessions to Reform, then why not make some concessions to Plaid, like strengthen the devolution settlement. Put Wales on par with Scotland and Northern Ireland

Adrian
Adrian
6 months ago

Ah Labour! They see democracy as a train from which they can disembark when they arrive at their stop.

Why vote
Why vote
6 months ago

What progress has labour made in the last 25 years in the senedd, the work is to hard for them so they expand the senedd spending our money whilst making life easier for themselves. Scandalous progress.

Jeff
Jeff
6 months ago
Reply to  Why vote

Free prescriptions. Free parking at hospitals.

Undecided
Undecided
6 months ago
Reply to  Jeff

Free bus passes, free swimming, free school meals and so on. Some I support but they ain’t really free. Taxpayer funded.

Thomas
Thomas
6 months ago
Reply to  Undecided

No, they’re not taxpayer funded. There’s a big tree in Cardiff and an even bigger one in Westminster where all the money comes from. Taxes exist purely to take all the money away again. It’s called Modern Monetary Theory (or the Magic Money Tree).

Jeff
Jeff
6 months ago
Reply to  Thomas

Probably bad wording. Yes I know its out of funding. But people that are strapped for it are not worrying about meds. But you would penalise people that cannot afford health care?

Now, child smacking ban, plastic bag charges.

Jeff
Jeff
6 months ago
Reply to  Undecided

Funds benefiting people. But you would penalise them?

Undecided
Undecided
6 months ago
Reply to  Jeff

No. I’m just trying to inject some realism. Big or small, the magic money true is running dry.

Thomas
Thomas
6 months ago
Reply to  Jeff

25 years work to get those two measures through! No wonder they need to increase the size of the Senedd so they might be able to achieve more than one thing per decade.

Jeff
Jeff
6 months ago
Reply to  Thomas

2 more landed. How many more do I need?
Coastal Path, Donor auto enrolment.

What have the romans ever done for us….

Thomas
Thomas
6 months ago
Reply to  Jeff

Quite frankly, I think you need a lot more to consider 25 years of uninterrupted power a success. Some of the things you mention have made a big difference to a small group of people, others have made a small difference to a larger group. But not one of them makes a significant difference to the population at large.

Hal
Hal
6 months ago
Reply to  Why vote

No longer the poorest part of the UK. That wooden spoon went to the North East of England.

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