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Tories face complete wipeout in Wales, losing every single seat according to new poll

27 Feb 2022 3 minute read
David TC Davies and Alun Cairns picture by Richard Townshend (CC BY 3.0). Simon Hart photo by Chris McAndrew (CC BY 3.0).

The Conservative party face a complete wipeout in Wales at the next General Election, losing every single seat they hold at the moment, according to a new poll.

The JL Partners MRP poll for the Sunday Times has the Tories losing all 14 seats in Wales and taking them back to the complete wipeout they faced at the height of New Labour at the 1997 and 2001 general elections.

That would involve losing new seats they picked up at the last election, such as Rob Roberts’ Delyn and Virginia Crosbie’s Ynys Môn, as well as some they have held for over a decade, including David TC Davies’ Monmouth and Alun Cairns’ Vale of Glamorgan.

The poll has the Labour party winning every single seat in Wales apart from the four now held by Plaid Cymru. The Liberal Democrats would win back Brecon and Radnorshire, the poll projects.

The result would be quite a turnaround for the Conservatives in Wales after they hit a high watermark of 14 seats at the 2019 General Election, winning an additional six seats in Wales to bring their total to 14.

They would also lose all six of their seats in Scotland, the poll projects.

The polls wider results has Tory support dropping to 2005 levels and half the cabinet, including Prime Minister Boris Johnson, losing their seats.

The Conservatives would win 201 seats overall, with Keir Starmer’s Labour party on 352 – a majority on 14.

‘Negative’

The JL Partners poll of 4,500 people and the seat projection was conducted by James Johnson, Theresa May’s former pollster.

James Johnson told the Sunday Times: “On these numbers, the Conservatives face electoral wipeout. Though Keir Starmer’s ratings remain negative, the sharp difference in comparison to Boris Johnson’s ratings mean Labour are benefitting by default.

“Though it is possible to see the gap narrowing in an actual election contest, and significant brand problems for Labour persevere, it is becoming less and less likely to see a situation in which the Conservatives win a majority under Boris Johnson. ‘Partygate’ has been damaging and has all the signs of being long-lasting.

“The prime minister no longer leads on the ‘must-have’ attributes that won him the 2019 election: strength, the ability to get things done, and a sense he was an authentic politician.”


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Mab Meirion
Mab Meirion
2 years ago

Now wouldn’t that be nice…

Gareth Wyn Jones
Gareth Wyn Jones
2 years ago

The Conservachovs took the Putin silver, and they display the same attitude of that leader to our country, we see it every day from the incoming attacks from the right wing press denigrating our government and threatening to abolish our devolution democracy while we ‘look the other way’. They are not fit represent us they, they are abusers and misusers of power and only look after their own narrow interests and cronies while leaving the less fortunate destitute, they run down our health services and our schools while educating their own children in private schools and using private health insurance… Read more »

Last edited 2 years ago by Gareth Wyn Jones
freedom fighter
freedom fighter
1 year ago

If you want to be proud and independent, stop taking money from ‘Westmiskow’ and then moaning about your keepers… A vote for Plaid isn’t a vote for Wales; it’s a vote for Plaid. The same ‘party for wales’ that wants to take the Welsh begging bowl back to Europe when the people of Wales voted out.

Mark
Mark
2 years ago

2024 is a long way off, and the electorate have very short memories when it comes to politics,

Quornby
Quornby
2 years ago
Reply to  Mark

Unfortunately that is very true.

Mab Meirion
Mab Meirion
2 years ago
Reply to  Mark

Rest assured, they will keep reminding us every step of the way to 2024…

Nigel Callaghan
Nigel Callaghan
2 years ago
Reply to  Mark

Oy! I was born in England, and I’ve been a member of plaid since I moved to Cymru, nearly 30 years ago! Some of the strongest campaigners I know for #indyCymru were born outside Cymru. The problem is the English-born residents who think they live in Westenglandshire.

Ernie The Smallholder
Ernie The Smallholder
2 years ago

That is true.
Many English people and well as others born outside Wales, come here to integrate to become Welsh (even if they don’t regularly speak Cymraeg).

Many want to see Wales, their country of adoption become a successful independent nation and be a part of our nation.

What Ismyname
What Ismyname
2 years ago

I did the same, only 14 years ago.

Richard
Richard
2 years ago

When i sat on the Post Office Users Council for Wales – one rather ‘ posh ‘ civil servant lady visiting the Committee said only half jokingly we were seen as ‘ West Anglia ‘ …and shouldnt over push our ‘ regional ‘ identuty

Gareth Wyn Jones
Gareth Wyn Jones
2 years ago
Reply to  Mark

Most English people I know in wales would not vote Tory and would probably vote for independence, but there are many who do that is for sure

I.Humphrys
I.Humphrys
2 years ago

The English that stand with us are worth more than others. They are thinkers.

Steve Duggan
Steve Duggan
2 years ago

We still have two years before another GE and the Tories will undoubtedly replace Johnson before then and claim themselves a new party. It’s their old trick and sadly people still fall for it. So we are not out of the woods yet. Though it would be good to see Wales Tory free.

Rob
Rob
2 years ago
Reply to  Steve Duggan

Its not that I’m disagreeing with you, but who would could they replace Johnson with? My hope is that what the Tories went through in the mid1990s will be repeated in the 2020s in the sense that they have been in power for two long & voters would had enough of them. I think Labour were destined to win in ’97 even if John Smith was still alive. Another factor is that the next election will less likely be about Brexit, and this time the Tories will not be going against Jeremy Corbyn who was off-putting to many voters. Starmer… Read more »

Last edited 2 years ago by Rob
I.Humphrys
I.Humphrys
2 years ago
Reply to  Rob

Starmer is Boris Lite

Rob
Rob
2 years ago
Reply to  I.Humphrys

….and look what happened to Labour under Jeremy Corbyn? He is the reason why we are currently under the thumb of the right wing Tories

Valerie
Valerie
2 years ago

The Welsh Tories. A contradiction in terms,do nothing to support Wales. Always stating the English point of view. Even English who have chosen to live here full time, cannot find this acceptable?

Mr Williams
Mr Williams
2 years ago

Now will they stop their anti-Welsh, hate agenda??

Malcolmrj
Malcolmrj
2 years ago

Just take a good look at most of the conservative MPs in Wales they look a slimey bunch what’s in your heart shows up on your face in time and they have no love for Wales and just slither up to they’re masters in London for browny points say no more

Grayham Jones
2 years ago

Kick all English party’s out of wales 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 it’s time for a new wales 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿

Morris Dean
Morris Dean
2 years ago
Reply to  Grayham Jones

Kick grayham’s copy and paste comments out of nation. Cymru

Erisian
Erisian
2 years ago
Reply to  Morris Dean

At least until he learns to use the shift key where needed.

Richard
Richard
2 years ago

I hear the sound of chickens 🐓 coming home to roost 🙌

Nottabott
Nottabott
2 years ago

Attack Wales and its elected government daily, call it assembly or administration as an insult, this is eventually what happens.

Y Cymro
Y Cymro
2 years ago

Finally the Welsh people now see the Tories in Wales for what they really are. Traitors who exist solely to demean Wales at any opportunity on behalf of their fascist Whitehall masters in England, whose hostile undemocratic agenda now is to remove our Senedd Cymru by stealth, then further demote Wales from a proud Celtic nation & people to a dependent sweatshop economy appendage with resources ripe for the picking.

Gareth
Gareth
2 years ago

I wonder , how many ex Tory MP’s will be given jobs by the rich billionaire Russians, that funded the party machine, paid for election campaigns and put them where they are today. I suppose some will just ask for permanent jobs with the many firms they have consultancies with.

Nigel Callaghan
Nigel Callaghan
2 years ago
Reply to  Gareth

They’ll only get jobs from the kleptocrats if they can Work From Home in their cells in Dartmoor

Argol Fawr!
Argol Fawr!
2 years ago

“Tories face complete wipeout in Wales “

Lets bl##dy hope so! They serve no one other than themselves and Tory HQ. Certainly not their constituents. I trust Andrew RT and similar puppets are also included.

John Young
John Young
2 years ago

I’m looking forward to the great day.

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