Worst ever poll for Lib Dems in Wales as Conservatives also lose ground

Paul Davies. © Russell Hart/Alamy Live News. First Minister Mark Drakeford AM. Mark Hawkins / Alamy Stock Photo. Kirsty Williams AM. Picture by Welsh Lib Dems. Adam Price: Picture by Plaid Cymru (CC BY-NC-ND 2.0).

The Liberal Democrats have seen their worst ever Westminster poll result in Wales, with only 2% of voters backing the party according to the latest ITV / YouGov poll.

The Conservatives have also slipped 3% in the polls since the General Election to 33%, while Plaid Cymru have gained 5% to rise to 15% in the polls.

Labour have remained static on 41% in the polls since December 2019.

If a General Election result happened today, Professor Roger Awan-Scully of Cardiff University projected that the Conservatives would lose three seats, Labour gain two and Plaid Cymru gain one.

Labour would gain Bridgend and Delyn, while Plaid Cymru would win Ynys Mon.

The full results are:

  • Labour: 41%
  • Conservative: 33%
  • Plaid Cymru: 15%
  • Lib Dem: 2%
  • Brexit Party: 4%
  • Green Party: 3%

The Senedd poll results are expected to be released later.

 

‘Progress’

Roger Awan-Scully told ITV Wales that the poll was “very disappointing for the Liberal Democrats”.

“A year ago the party seemed resurgent, now in the wake of another desperately disappointing general election performance, their poll rating in Wales has slumped to the lowest level in any poll this century – possibly their lowest level ever,” he said.

“Plaid Cymru will also surely be pleased with these numbers, after a summer in which they have struggled – amidst the major events going on – to achieve much media attention.

“Labour appear to have consolidated their lead over the Conservatives somewhat. However, these changes are well within any polling ‘margin of error’, and so could represent nothing more than typical sampling variation.

“Nonetheless, these figures will be pleasing to Labour, and are in line with the Britain-wide evidence suggesting that Sir Keir Starmer is making slow but steady progress in improving Labour’s standing among the electorate. Conservative support remains robust at a level only slightly below that attained in December’s general election.”

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