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Opinion

Everyone has a stake in the future of the state pension

03 Oct 2026 5 minute read
Photo Natalia Blauth For Unsplash+

Martin Shipton

Racism aside, one of the most invidious forms of political propaganda in the UK is the attempt to drive a generational wedge between older and younger people.

There has been a concerted effort by many commentators to portray pensioners as a privileged elite that benefits at the expense of their working-age counterparts. This is unfair for various reasons.

It implies that the financial interests of individuals are determined by how old they are at any given time, and that people’s lives do not represent a continuum encompassing all ages. Obviously, this is nonsense.

There is no reason why a young person at the start of his or her working years should feel opposed to or even threatened by someone drawing a pension. Yet the polarising rhetoric surrounding any discussion in this area has undoubtedly fostered mutual antagonism.

The debate about the “triple lock” on the size of the state pension is framed as if greedy pensioners are being over-rewarded at the expense of younger taxpayers, whose interests are necessarily opposed.

But this is also nonsensical. Everyone has a stake in the value of the state pension because everyone will benefit from it, except the unfortunate minority who die prematurely. Ending the triple lock, which guarantees that it will increase every year by the highest of three measures – inflation, average wage growth or 2.5% – would be to the detriment of everyone who attains pension age.

Those pushing for an end to the triple lock tend to shy away from international comparisons. It’s easy to understand why. The UK has one of the lowest rates of state pension in western Europe.

Look at the figures: Iceland £30,251; Luxembourg £26,778; Norway £25,972; Denmark £25,410; Switzerland £22,719; Austria £20,480; Netherlands £20,264; Belgium £19,000; Sweden £18,882; and Ireland £18,318. The figure for the UK seems meagre at £11,973.

According to the House of Commons Library, the data suggests that the UK devotes a smaller percentage of its GDP to state pensions and pensioner benefits than most other economies. For state pensions alone, the UK trails other advanced economies, providing lower pensions in relation to average earnings. In real terms, this works out as an overall net replacement rate of 54.4% from mandatory pensions for those with average earnings, compared with an Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) average of 61.4%.

Those who persist in denigrating pensioners refer to the “gold-plated” pensions supposedly enjoyed by civil servants and those who have worked in the private sector. Yet while news stories are regularly published that quote extremely generous pension provisions for captains of industry and top figures in the public sector and associated organisations like universities, the reality is that such instances relate to no more than a tiny minority.

Over the last 20 or so years, there has been a drive among many employers to end final salary or “defined benefit” pension schemes – where the value of the pension is linked to the employee’s final salary before retirement – in favour of “defined contribution” schemes, where the amount of pension received is determined by the return on investment of the scheme’s assets. Only about 10% of private sector employers still have final salary pension schemes open to new employees.

This change has resulted, in most cases, in a significant drop in the value of the company pension employees can expect to pick up when they retire.

Industrial action

While trade union officials, in firms that are unionised, make the case that pensions are a form of deferred pay, it is very difficult in most workplaces to persuade workers to defend their pensions with industrial action. The value of a pension several decades in the future is seen as too remote to mean much.

As a result, those who don’t want to bury their heads in the sand can safely predict that pensioner poverty is going to get much worse in the future.

For the moment, Andy Burnham is thinking of how to pay for the care of the elderly in future years. He is concentrating on reducing the value of the state pension as a quid pro quo for funding such care, instead of introducing a levy or paying for it through general taxation. This seems to ignore the bigger picture of ensuring that future pensioners have enough to live on when they retire. As time goes on, this will become a major problem, although politicians of today may well choose to leave it for their successors to deal with.

In the meantime, we are left with a debate about whether universal welfare provision is feasible. For Rhodri Morgan and Mark Drakeford, it was essential to have a welfare system in which everyone had a stake. Free bus travel for pensioners and disabled people and free prescriptions for all were championed and introduced as examples of tangible benefits that brought our society together and created an inclusive Wales.

Cheap shot

Today’s diminished Welsh Labour seems to have abandoned this view, with talk of the Plaid Cymru government providing benefits to millionaires. Wales isn’t awash with millionaires, as we all know, and this is a cheap shot of the kind one would expect of right-wing parties that want to slash all welfare programmes. I don’t actually think Andy Burnham would approve of the sentiment either.

Any debate about getting rid of the triple lock should bear these factors in mind and consider them explicitly, especially the low rate of the state pension in comparison with other European countries.

While it’s true that many current pensioners enjoy reasonably generous final salary pension schemes, there are many who don’t and find it difficult to make ends meet, especially those who rely entirely on the state pension or have only a small private pension on top.

What’s certainly the case is that many future pensioners will be worse off than their counterparts today. Daunting as the prospect may be, this fact should be confronted and acted upon.


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16 Comments
Oldest
Newest Most Voted
Marko
Marko
9 days ago

I think one of the most invidious things in this country if the attempt to drive a wedge between LGBT+ people, immigrants and the wider population. But we are where we are.
The divide between old people and young people has been a direct response to how old people treat young people.
I’m not getting any younger myself but the way my generation treats kids has not been great. To blame it on external malevolent forces is nonsense designed to distract

Tomos
Tomos
9 days ago
Reply to  Marko

Do you have examples of older people who are struggling on their state pension to heat their homes etc actually mistreating young people? Or are you just subtly making unfounded and stereotypical allegations that all ‘boomer’ pensioners are living a champagne lifestyle (and therefore further fuelling the generational divide)?

Eugene Thornkettle
Eugene Thornkettle
9 days ago
Reply to  Marko

Old people have children and they work hard to see them grow up in a decent world.

Mab Meirion
Mab Meirion
9 days ago

Tease or terrorise, bully or shouldn’t something come before bully!

Mr and Mrs Burnem, Bubble and Squeak , sound familiar.

There is a streak of cruelty that goes right through new, new, New Labour. Mahmood and Red Sonia for example, as for Austin Powers/Healey!

Tomos
Tomos
9 days ago

Great piece. Obviously it’s slightly skewed to compare our state pension to countries such as Denmark as their whole societies are set up completely differently when it comes to social security but I’m tired of this nefarious briefing against pensioners. Also worth noting that final salary pensions in the private sector have long since been a thing of the past, so as the last beneficiaries pass away the situation for many pensioners is going to get much worse. We’re attacking pensioners while Google, Amazon etc pay nowhere near the tax they should.

Askevans
Askevans
9 days ago

You have articulated well the arguement I make.

Jack
Jack
9 days ago

I don’t ever really comment but I do enjoy your writing Martin. But, today, here I am in complete disagreement. Pensioner poverty was a genuine issue and it’s important we don’t slide back into such a situation. But we are in a situation where other parts of society are in a worse position at an earlier point in their lives, whether that be children in poverty or families struggling with a decade of low wage growth and high inflation. The entire debate is made more difficult by the fact that the UK doesn’t have a great financial and economic education… Read more »

Llew Gruffudd
Llew Gruffudd
8 days ago
Reply to  Jack

A couple of things in your argument. The Mercer CFA is a measurement of pension systems internationally, not state pension systems as the opinion piece is arguing. The IFS as well as arguing that other countries has differen systems also argue that a change to the UK state pension system would fitst of all involve an increase in the basic rate of pension. Higher in relation to the average wage, before any indexing. The Resolution Foundation may well be right in the design of the triple lock, but what is being proposed is not a redesign but the removal of… Read more »

Undecided
Undecided
7 days ago
Reply to  Jack

Absolutely correct. We can chuck statistics around until the cows come home; but there is no doubt that the younger generation have it all a great deal tougher.

Steve Lake
Steve Lake
6 days ago
Reply to  Jack

“Many believe the state pension is a pot they pay into and receive for themselves later in life, rather than paying for the pensions of today”. Isn’t theacceptance that isn’t the case just part of the problem? If I paid my mortgage for 25 years, only to be told that I don’t actually own my house because there aren’t enough younger people paying in to the building society I’d be outraged and rightly feel I’d been defrauded. Pensioners HAVE paid throughout their working lives for their pensions.

Rhodri Penpont
Rhodri Penpont
5 days ago
Reply to  Steve Lake

If it worked like that we would never have had a state pension because when the first pensioners retired at 65 with a state pension. They had not contributed a penny. Their pensions were paid for by working people. That is the system we still have. Working people pay for the pensioners state benefit.

Dom
Dom
5 days ago
Reply to  Rhodri Penpont

It’s a Ponzi scheme.

Steve Lake
Steve Lake
5 days ago
Reply to  Rhodri Penpont

Yes; that’s the historical reality. The moral point still stands, though – or do we shrug our shoulders and accept that the burden inflicted by Lloyd George’s sleight of hand continues to be passed on forever?

Rhodri Penpont
Rhodri Penpont
2 days ago
Reply to  Steve Lake

It is the only system that works.

Dom
Dom
9 days ago

The schism was caused by Brexit which 60% of over 65s voted for. That support broke the intergenerational contract, and has been made worse by policies that have protected those that caused the economic decline from the consequences of that decline. But the answer isn’t to make less well-off pensioners poorer. It’s to raise the pension further then claw it back from high income pensioners in a gradual taper similar to child benefit that starts at £40k and finishes at £60k to avoid disincentivising saving for retirement. Everyone gets it and everyone remains protected against pensioner poverty.

Jones
Jones
7 days ago

Pension Credit is a tax-free, means-tested benefit administered by the UK government’s Department for Work and Pensions (DWP). It is designed to provide extra money to help with living and housing costs for individuals who have reached State Pension age and are on a low income. It is completely separate from the State Pension, meaning you can qualify even if you have personal savings, a private pension, or own your home. [1, 2, 3, 4, 5] —————————— ## 1. The Two Core Parts Pension Credit is divided into two distinct components: [5] * * Guarantee Credit: This tops up your… Read more »

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