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Opinion

Reform’s defeat is a triumph for Wales

24 Oct 2025 5 minute read
Reform UK’s Llyr Powell (left) looks on as Plaid Cymru’s Lindsay Whittle makes a speech after being declared winner for the Caerphilly Senedd by-election – Andrew Matthews / PA Media

Martin Shipton

Lindsay Whittle’s triumph in the Caerphilly by-election is a victory not only for Plaid Cymru, but for Wales.

Like many others, I had been seduced into believing that the Farage bandwagon was unstoppable and that his party’s appeal to the basest human instincts was winning.

What depressed me particularly was the thought that a nasty English nationalist party prepared to stir up racial hatred out of cynical opportunism could swan into Wales and con people into voting for it.

It’s true that it got thousands to do so.  But Plaid, with the support of progressives who would normally vote for other parties, especially Labour, got thousands more.

Flying visits

The defeat of Labour in a seat it had held at Westminster and the Senedd for more than 100 years, would in normal circumstances be a massive story in its own right. But that became an accepted fact weeks ago.

Reform became the party to beat, and the huge, often uncritical media attention given to Farage and other Reform politicians when they made flying visits to the constituency gave the party the appearance of being the frontrunner.

Very early in the campaign their strategy became clear: don’t bother to concentrate on real issues like health, education and the economy, but go low and play on people’s concerns about immigration.

There are no small boats landing asylum seekers on the Welsh coast, so there was the need to manufacture a row over the Welsh Government’s Nation of Sanctuary policy.

Reform picked up on the fact that around £55m had been spent on the programme over several years and made this the main theme of its campaign, alleging that public money was being squandered on asylum seekers who, it was strongly implied, were illegal immigrants who had arrived by small boat. A lie.

Lies

In fact, the great bulk of the money was spent on resettling Ukrainian refugees. Even after this was pointed out, Reform continued to spread lies about the matter.

They hadn’t counted on the fightback from members of the Caerphilly Ukrainian community, led by an articulate woman called Yuliia Bond, who spoke and wrote passionately about how generously they had been welcomed by the people of the constituency and how they were making positive contributions to the local community.

The most memorable moment in the candidates’ TV debate came when a woman and her mixed-race son in the audience called out Reform’s Llyr Powell, blaming him and his party for trying to create racial tension when none previously existed.

In order to counter the relentless racist abuse on social media, the campaign group Stand Up To Racism delivered leaflets across the constituency.

Powerful

In a statement after the by-election result was declared, the group said: “Reform UK threw everything they had at this by-election — and they still lost.

“This result stands as a powerful testament to the dedication and determination of anti-racist campaigners and community activists across Caerphilly. Volunteers delivered thousands of leaflets, spoke directly with residents, and made clear the real dangers posed by Reform’s divisive politics.

“The defeat of Reform is a major victory for everyone committed to opposing racism and intolerance. The significance of this outcome cannot be overstated.”

At Nation.Cymru we tried to do our bit to show up Reform for the charlatans they are – and in doing so countering the uncritical coverage that Nigel Farage receives from many news outlets who consider him to be a source of entertainment. There was no shortage of negative material about Reform for us to write about.

In the end, the result wasn’t nearly as close as some had predicted. Plaid Cymru won with a healthy majority. Had Reform won, it would have been a national humiliation for Wales. We have avoided that thanks to good sense prevailing in Caerphilly, with people prepared to vote tactically to defeat what many would have perceived as an external threat.

Gloating

We have also avoided the gloating visits of Farage and his sidekicks like Richard Tice and Lee Anderson. They would have patronised the locals while privately despising them as a bunch of oiks.

It must never be forgotten that Reform is an offshoot of the far right of the Conservative Party, bankrolled by donors who represent interests like the fossil fuel industries and offshore banking, who want to deregulate as much as possible so they can engage in buccaneering capitalism without restraint.

They oppose extending workers’ employment rights and want to impose huge spending cuts on all levels of government. The idea that they would improve public services is ridiculous. Their whole philosophy is predicated on reducing public spending and cutting taxes for the rich.

On the international stage they stand with Trump and Putin and approve of Israel’s genocide in Gaza.

Their defeat by the combined forces of the progressive left demonstrates that things have not sunk so low that the electorate’s top choice will be a political party that so evidently doesn’t represent the interests of those who vote for it.

The people of Caerphilly are not nearly as gullible as Nigel Farage thought they were. For him and his abominable party, the by-election loss is a huge setback that they weren’t expecting.


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Mark T
Mark T
20 days ago

Thank you Martin for saying it like it is . And thank you the good people of Caerphilly for a victory of decency over hate . May this just be the start .

Amir
Amir
20 days ago
Reply to  Mark T

Very true.

James Edwards
James Edwards
20 days ago

Absolutely spot on Martin and well done to you and your colleagues for superbly exposing these scumbags for exactly what they are. The far right can now crawl back to where they came from safe in the knowledge that the people of Caerphilly and Cymru have massively rejected them. Cymru am Byth

Amir
Amir
20 days ago
Reply to  James Edwards

Well said.

adarynefoedd
adarynefoedd
20 days ago

Great article Martin gives hope to some of us fighting around Newtown.

Mab Meirion
Mab Meirion
20 days ago

Ever since the late Lord Porthmadog stole my vote I have been in favour of a by-election.

Very good point and regarding Putin’s Gobby Blinders…

Peter J
Peter J
20 days ago

It’s a fantastic result, really well done to everyone in Plaid. So many people worked hard to achieve this and a lot of door knocking and conversations. Anedoctically, the russian association is clearly cutting through as well. I heard on a podcast recently the mention of ‘peak reform’ has been hit, and I largely agree. People are seeing through their simplicities. Looking at labour’s %, it also seems a lot of people voted tactically to keep reform out. I can’t help but feel that anyone with a centrist or left-leaning view needs to be humble about this by-election. Calling this… Read more »

Amir
Amir
20 days ago
Reply to  Peter J

I understand some of your argument, but what do deform even offer. The word “change ” is meaningless. The other stuff they offer is just islamaphobia, xenophobia and boats mantra. Come on.

Felicity
Felicity
20 days ago
Reply to  Amir

Yes they offer zilch, but their intention is to demonise a section of society in order to fragment what remains of the working class. They fear the unity and power of the majority.

David Richards
David Richards
20 days ago

As someone once said “It’s a very good morning in Wales”…

Karl
Karl
20 days ago

Missing the anti semitism of reform ltd. Farage has many times blamed George Soros a pretty well known Jewish financer. Blamed in the way early 20th century villians did to those Jewish or even further back written in Shakespeares work. Those he supports zionism, but not those Jewish in truth. When it said out loud, we must quote their evil thoughts often and allow people to find the truths.

Felicity
Felicity
20 days ago
Reply to  Karl

Yes, Farage hates the idea that Jews, Muslims and people of colour can all be part of one community.

Fanny Hill
Fanny Hill
20 days ago

I woke at 4 a.m. this morning and reached for my. phone with trepidation expecting the worst, but no, what joy, what a brilliant result. That you Martin for your unswerving criticism and exposure of Reform. Thank you to the Labour voters and others who leant their vote to Plaid. Thank you Yuliiia Bond and the mother who stood up to be counted. This was not so much an indictment on Labour as a rejection of the politics of hate and division fuelled by Reform both in both Caerphilly and Wales. Llyr Powell can confidently crawl back under whatever stone… Read more »

Mandi A
Mandi A
20 days ago
Reply to  Fanny Hill

“That you Martin for your unswerving criticism and exposure of Reform”
Let’s not get carried away. Reform will do very well in Tory Wales, places like Conwy and Llandudno

John Ellis
John Ellis
19 days ago
Reply to  Mandi A

The Costa Geriatrica of elderly exiles from England’s north-west!

Mab Meirion
Mab Meirion
20 days ago

Oops, lead comment vanished, how many read it and now make assumptions…

Felicity
Felicity
20 days ago

There must now be a massive programme of political education for younger people. So many seemed uncertain of the process and issues involved.

Dai Ponty
Dai Ponty
20 days ago

My father went ashore on the First landing on the D day landings with the 2nd Bn The South Wales Borderers to push Hitler out of Europe FASCISTS he and his generation would turn over in their graves to se Fascist Reform in Wales if England want them thats their problem we must now go foreword a throw of the English Yoke along with our Celtic cousins Scotland and Northern Ireland Liebour are finished in Wales just like the Tories a steo towards a Welsh REPUBLIC

Felicity
Felicity
20 days ago
Reply to  Dai Ponty

I disagree. I think we have a duty to expose and root out fascist ideology wherever it is in these islands.

Rob W
Rob W
20 days ago

There’s been a lot of doom and gloom on here over the last year or so every time Reform beat Plaid at a council by-election. Well, this victory in Caerphilly is worth far more than those half a dozen or so council by-election victories for Reform put together. Many congratulations and very well done Lindsay Whittle.

Clive hopper
Clive hopper
20 days ago

Spot on. What a shame our press doesn’t make any attempt to expose Reform for what it is.

Undecided
Undecided
20 days ago

I agree with the comments of others; but the job isn’t done yet. Reform still got circa 35% of the vote, it’s a different voting system next May and there won’t be a Lindsay Whittle standing everywhere.

Mab Meirion
Mab Meirion
20 days ago
Reply to  Undecided

And we need to be reasonably sure where N.C stands in this fight…!

Baxter
Baxter
20 days ago
Reply to  Undecided

It seems likely that Reform will take a third of seats in the Senedd next May. Fortunately this will still leave a familiar number of sensible members thanks to the increase in numbers, who can still get on with the real work without the noisy sideshow grinding governance to a halt.

Undecided
Undecided
20 days ago
Reply to  Baxter

You may be right; but if the complete collapse of Labour and the Tories is replicated next May, there could some strange results for the 5th and 6th seats (and some strange people elected). Governing won’t be easy and there clearly isn’t going to be any extra money.

Geoff Hollett
Geoff Hollett
20 days ago

I’m normally a Labour supporter but well done Plaid in trouncing reform, maybe with some tactical voting!! Also well done Martin for calling out Reform’s ‘snake oil’ use of immigration , which is a UK government responsibility, and other lies they promulgate!!

Alwyn Evans
Alwyn Evans
20 days ago

Many thanks Martin for your steadfast position on this elections as with so many other matters in the past. Nation.Cymru ( together with Will Hayward!) provide the only truly Wales-orientated standpoints in face of an overwhelmingly English and increasingly reactionary media scenario

Rhobat Bryn
Rhobat Bryn
20 days ago

Couldn’t agree more with Martin’s article. The people of Caerffili have done us all proud and hats off to them for showing that they and we can’t be bought off with cheap and divisive rhetoric from a carpet bagger who thinks all it takes is money. I’m standing a little taller today with a warm glow in my heart.

Dai Rob
Dai Rob
20 days ago

Great article Ships!!!

Mandi A
Mandi A
20 days ago

Never read such sychophantic nonsense. The only reason there was a by-election was because it was a constituency seat not a regional list one. If it had been a regional seat, it would have passed to the next name on the list. You should all remember the footslog that Stand Up to Racism / Hope not Hate are putting in to keep Farage out of Wales. I will say again, any elected person jumping party must be subjected to re-election

Fanny Hill
Fanny Hill
19 days ago
Reply to  Mandi A

If you want sycophancy have a look to Reform voters.

Ian
Ian
20 days ago

I spoke to Plaid campaigners from Caerphilly who talked about the feeling of fear & intimidation that many locals had as a result of the Reform campaign. Numerous leaflets with negative and misleading messaging, leading to some even feeling intimidated by the Reform placards popping up! Good journalists must expose such toxic politics; let us hope that Wales can continue to do so.

Fi yn unig
Fi yn unig
20 days ago

As always, thanks hugely to Martin for his ongoing fabulous work. The planned ‘victory’ racist rally on Saturday must be called off because the anger on the Russians’ face in this photo is a warning of what may come – GOD (and the venue) forbid. Please?

Cymrawd Popty-Ping
Cymrawd Popty-Ping
19 days ago

Fair doos Martin – both barrels between the eyes. They don’t like it up em! I think that it is safe to say that Plaid have established their credentials as the party best placed to contest Reform across the Welsh post-industrial heartlands. Sadly, outside the big cosmopolitan cities, there is no new modern prince in England. With this in mind, next May marks an occasion where Wales, along with London and Holyrood, might make yet make their greatest contribution to progressive politics – i.e. forcing UK Labour to boot-out the tepid, authoritarian dross which the PLP permitted to accrete in… Read more »

Chris Hale
Chris Hale
19 days ago

A huge thank you to the electors of Caerphilly who did not swallow the lies being peddled by Reform Ltd, and saw them for the bigots they are, financed by dark money and supported by Russian troll farms. Also, appreciation of Martin Shipton and colleagues on Nation Cymru, for providing the honest coverage missing in the rest of the media. Congratulations also to the ordinary people of Caerphilly who have been willing to put themselves out there on doorsteps and in television studios challenge liars and put truth across. Consistent challenge is hard to maintain, but has worked here in… Read more »

Agnes Nutter
Agnes Nutter
19 days ago

A triumph for a Confident Cymru, not for One Nation fear. For inclusivity over exclusion. For internationalism not white nationalism. For progress not regress.

When your platform demonises ANYONE, eventually you are getting found out. And Caerffili found Deform out. Let it be the start of many more.

Readthesmallprint
Readthesmallprint
19 days ago
Last edited 19 days ago by Readthesmallprint

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