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Opinion

The dominoes are on the move

16 Dec 2025 5 minute read
A group from Flanders at the March for Independence in Barry

Geraint Thomas

Wales is not alone. That is the simple truth at the heart of the growing network of pro-independence movements across western Europe.

At a time when the world feels chaotic and political change can appear impossibly slow, these shared struggles are rooted in a powerful, optimistic belief: that the small, stateless nations of western Europe are on the brink of a shared democratic awakening – and that the road ahead must be travelled together.

Across the continent, from Catalunya to Flanders, from the Basque Country to Brittany, from Scotland to Veneto, a common reality binds us. We are nations with deep identities, long histories, rich cultures, and unfinished constitutional journeys. We each face different challenges, but the story is the same: our people want the right to choose their own future, yet the centralising states that govern us resist that choice at every turn.

Shared lessons, shared courage

Wales’s own modern history of political awakening has been shaped – even sparked – by the victories and sacrifices of our European friends.

It was the success of Ireland’s fight for independence that inspired the founding of Plaid Cymru in 1925. It was the courage of Scotland and Catalunya in the 2010s that ignited the grassroots surge that created YesCymru. And today, it is the determination of nations like the Basque Country – still commemorating martyrs such as Txiki and Otaegi 50 years after Franco had them executed – that reminds us how costly the struggle for self-determination can be, and how essential it is to persevere.

Across Europe, the same democratic thread runs through the stories we share, and each of those stories carries a lesson. Together they show something Wales has always known: small nations succeed not by turning inward, but by reaching outward.

The power of cooperation

History teaches us that independence rarely comes as a slow drip – it arrives in waves.

Eastern Europe saw one such wave in the 1990s, when a cascade of nations reclaimed their sovereignty within a single decade. Western Europe is quietly preparing for the next.

When one nation gains the right to decide its future, others take heart. When one movement wins recognition, another gains legitimacy. When one people uncover their confidence, neighbouring nations feel their own stir.

This is the domino effect – and it is coming.

By sharing our experiences, strategies, setbacks and victories, we move closer together toward the same horizon. This cooperation builds a network of friendship so strong that no government in Madrid, London, Paris or Rome will be able to ignore the collective democratic force rising across Europe.

Wales cannot afford to be left behind

Wales needs independence every bit as urgently as our European friends. Given our stagnant economy, deep structural underfunding, and increasingly fragile democracy – highlighted so vocally this week by members of our governing bodies both in Cardiff and London – Wales cannot afford to remain where it is. The status quo is not safety – it is slow-motion decline.

But by looking outward, as Wales always has, we rediscover our strength.

And by learning from Catalunya’s cultural resilience, from Scotland’s electoral determination, from Flanders’ constitutional clarity, from the Basque Country’s unbroken spirit, we remind ourselves that there is nothing unusual or impossible about independence. It is normal. It is achievable. It is coming.

A new platform for connection

This growing continental momentum is also shaping how movements learn from one another. As part of this cooperation, YesCymru has begun a new project alongside ICEC (International Commission for European Citizens). A pan-European newsletter – Letters from Friends – has been launched to connect the Welsh independence movement with pro-independence campaigns across Europe.

‘Letters from Friends’ is a bi-monthly collection of stories, lessons and insights that show how closely our struggles align. Recent examples include:

In Euskal Herria (The Basque Country), 5,000 people marched in Iruñea to honour their fallen heroes and demand independence under the banner “Askatasunaren Haizea” – the Wind of Freedom.

In Flanders, Belgium’s political paralysis deepens, revealing a state nearing the limits of viability and accelerating the case for full sovereignty.

In Brittany, momentum is rising to secure devolved rights equal to those of Wales and Scotland – a movement built on growing confidence and cultural revival.

These movements demonstrate that the desire for self-determination is not isolated or theoretical. It is active, lived, and accelerating.

Letters from Friends is a promise that we will support each other, inspire each other, and celebrate each other’s victories. Because when Europe’s stateless nations work together, we bring each of our independence days closer than ever.

The next wave of European freedom is rising, and Wales will be part of it.

Geraint Thomas is Wales’s spokesperson for ICEC, the International Commission for European Citizens, an international network promoting self-determination, independence, and peaceful democratic processes for stateless nations across Europe. You can read the first edition of ‘Letters from Friends’ here https://www.yes.cymru/icec


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Steve Thomas
Steve Thomas
7 hours ago

Excellent article but my only problem is, there was no mention of Kernew and their struggles to get any form of recognition

Adam
Adam
6 hours ago

Independence is normal.

Dai Ponty
Dai Ponty
5 hours ago

We are in the 21st Century no country has a right to rule and dictate to another country Wales needs to break away from the london government

Adam
Adam
3 hours ago
Reply to  Dai Ponty

100% correct. However, the brits aren’t in the 21st century, they’re still stuck in a time of Royalty in silly outfits, colonialism that’s long dead and a strong reluctance to healthy change.
It’s kind of like being held hostage by the school bully, who is now rather old and tired and unable to throw a punch. All rather embarrassing.

Thomas
Thomas
2 hours ago

Let’s imagine a future world in which Wales is independent. Will we then see a movement in Deheubarth objecting to being ruled from Morgannwg in a country formed by the brutal colonial ambitions of Gwynedd? And when Deheubarth achieves independence, will the people of Dyfed and Seisyllwg start bickering? And when Seisyllwg achieves independence, will the people of Ystrad Tywi object to being ruled from Ceredigion?

Alwyn
Alwyn
2 hours ago
Reply to  Thomas

Perhaps Tegeingl side with the saes again and take 20-25% of Wales manufacturing GVA (airbus, Toyota, Tata shotton etc) with it?

Last edited 2 hours ago by Alwyn
Mike T
Mike T
2 hours ago
Reply to  Thomas

And the People’s Republic of South Pembrokeshire

Y Cymro
Y Cymro
1 hour ago

Watching the treacherous Welsh Conservatives and lame donkey Welsh Labour today in the Senedd FMQs on TV proves once and for all both are bedfellows complicit. First Minister Eluned Morgan was asked by Plaid Cymru’s Rhun Ap Iorwerth about UK Labour bypassing the Welsh Government over its “Pride of Place” funding where both Scotland & Northern Ireland were afforded its control. All Rhun Ap Iorwerth got was waffle and bluster from Eluned Morgan. The usual BS and deflection. She just couldn’t criticise her master in London. Labour are the party of devolution, she said lol. Should do stand up comedy.… Read more »

Andy W
Andy W
1 hour ago
Reply to  Y Cymro

Yesterdays news of an major boost to the Welsh economy has been on LinkedIn https://dispel.com/blog/dispel-expands-european-presence-as-demand-for-ot-cybersecurity-accelerates?utm_campaign=14447706-Marketing25&utm_content=361246739&utm_medium=social&utm_source=linkedin&hss_channel=lcp-10292008

I cannot see the news on this website, bbc or itv?

Cardiffs technology development has been championed by Kellie Bernie as the Chief Executive of the Cardiff Capital Region.

Cardiff / Wales is developing slowly with well-paid roles such as these – result of Labour Investment submit.
Has Plaid Cymru delivered similar roles in their controlled councils?

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