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New poll confirms healthy Labour lead over Conservatives in Senedd race

29 Apr 2021 2 minute read
Mark Drakeford and Andrew RT Davies.

A new poll for the Senedd election has confirmed a healthy Labour leade over the Conservatives as the election campaign enters its final weekend.

Savanta ComRes place Labour on 36% of the vote to the Conservative’s 27% in the constituencies, and on 31% to 21% on the list.

It is the first time Savanta ComRes has polled Wales but is broadly line with a recent YouGov poll showing Labour on 35% to the Conservative’s 24% in the constituencies.

The poll suggests Labour would ensure close to a majority of seats, with 26 to the Conservatives’ 15.

It’s a disappointing poll for Plaid Cymru, and the second since an Opinium poll last week showing them under 20%, with 19% on the constituency vote. They fare better on the list with 21%.

It is however the latest poll to confirm that over 30% want independence for Wales, with 32% for and 68% against, with don’t knows removed.

Full constituancy results are:

Labour – 36%

Conservative – 27%

Plaid Cymru – 19%

Lib Dem – 5%

Abolish – 4%

Reform UK – 4%

Other – 5%

Ful regional list results are:

Labour – 31%

Conservative – 24%

Plaid Cymru – 21%

Abolish – 8%

Lib Dem – 5%

Green – 3%

Reform UK – 3%

UKIP – 2%

Other – 3%

The poll was carried out between 23-28 April.

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